AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
--.--.---- --:--
Deakin Stadium
Canberra FC
Match Timeline
O'Connor Knights
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
D. Galic
O'Connor Knights
16'
R. Keir
Canberra FC
36'
N. Ujdur
Canberra FC
41'
H. Tunney
O'Connor Knights
45'
C. Brown
O'Connor Knights
63'
S. Whitehead
Canberra FC
68'
C. Park
O'Connor Knights
90+1'
S. Whitehead
Canberra FC
90+7'
S. Whitehead
Canberra FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Canberra FC Win 78.7%
Draw 4%
O'Connor Knights Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canberra FC2.59
O'Connor Knights1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canberra FC Canberra FC
WWDLW
52 GF / 18 GA
O'Connor Knights O'Connor Knights
WLDWL
17 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
3.06
Average Goals Scored
1
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
11
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canberra FC Canberra FC 17 matches
O'Connor Knights O'Connor Knights 17 matches
Canberra FC Statistic O'Connor Knights
14 Wins 5
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 10
52 Goals For 17
18 Goals Against 32
3.06 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
11 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Canberra FC's more proactive style and O'Connor Knights's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward O'Connor Knights. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward O'Connor Knights having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Canberra FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to O'Connor Knights in 8 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. O'Connor Knights arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Canberra FC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 16 games, Canberra FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 48:18 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

O'Connor Knights Analysis

O'Connor Knights sit 8 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 16:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Canberra FC won 7 times, O'Connor Knights won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:26 from Canberra FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: Canberra FC wins 7, draws 3, O'Connor Knights wins 5
Last matches: Canberra FC
15.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
3
2
W
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
4
0
W
21.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
5
2
W
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
1
1
D
17.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
2
1
W
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
30.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
3
2
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
11.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
5
1
W
31.03.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
0
3
L
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
09.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Preston Lions
0
0
D
Last matches: O'Connor Knights
15.08.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles
3
1
W
01.08.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Monaro Panthers
1
1
D
25.07.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Belconnen United
1
1
D
11.07.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Juventus
0
2
L
27.06.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Olympic
1
0
W
20.06.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Brindabella
0
1
L
13.06.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
2
3
L
10.06.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Cooma Tigers FC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Queanbeyan City
0
4
L
23.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles
2
0
W
16.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
5
L
13.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Olympic
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Monaro Panthers
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Belconnen United
2
1
W
24.04.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Brindabella
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Juventus
0
3
L
15.04.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
0
2
L
28.03.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
30.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Yoogali CT
1
7
L
24.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
1
3
L
H2H: Canberra FC vs O'Connor Knights
08.08.26
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
4
W
16.05.26
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
5
W
26.07.25
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
2
3
W
31.05.25
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
9
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
3
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
2
1
L
22.06.24
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
2
4
W
05.05.24
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
1
3
L
23.09.23
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
1
D
22.07.23
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
0
1
L
01.04.23
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
1
D
03.09.22
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
0
L
16.07.22
H2H
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
0
4
W
14.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
3
2
W
Last matches: Canberra FC
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
4
0
W
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
01.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Avondale
1
4
L
19.10.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Preston Lions
3
2
W
13.09.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
1
2
L
06.09.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
31.08.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
7
2
W
02.08.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Yoogali CT
1
2
L
12.07.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
0
2
L
06.07.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
4
0
W
29.06.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Gungahlin United
4
5
L
31.05.25
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
9
1
W
25.05.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
5
0
W
H2H at home: Canberra FC
08.08.26
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
4
W
31.05.25
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
9
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
1
3
L
28.05.23
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
0
1
L
14.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
3
2
W
Last matches: O'Connor Knights
01.08.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Monaro Panthers
1
1
D
25.07.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Belconnen United
1
1
D
11.07.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Juventus
0
2
L
20.06.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Brindabella
0
1
L
23.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles
2
0
W
13.05.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Olympic
1
3
L
15.04.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
0
2
L
28.03.26
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
30.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Yoogali CT
1
7
L
24.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
1
3
L
20.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Gungahlin United
6
2
W
09.08.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Monaro Panthers
3
5
L
28.06.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Queanbeyan City
2
3
L
14.06.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
31.05.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra FC
1
9
L
18.05.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Gungahlin United
1
2
L
11.05.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Tuggeranong United
1
1
D
26.04.25
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Monaro Panthers
0
5
L
31.08.24
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Canberra Olympic
3
4
L
10.08.24
Cap
O'Connor Knights
Yoogali CT
1
1
D
H2H away: O'Connor Knights
08.08.26
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
4
L
31.05.25
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
9
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
1
3
W
28.05.23
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
0
1
W
14.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
3
2
L