NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
Kooi Stadion
Referee: M. van den Kerkhof
Cambuur
Match Timeline
Vitesse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Omar Achouitar
Vitesse
🟨
14'
Dillon Hoogewerf
Vitesse
🟨
33'
Nathan Markelo
Vitesse
🟨
36'
Nathan Markelo
Vitesse
🟥
36'
Nathan Markelo
Vitesse
🟨
38'
Ismaël Baouf
Cambuur
42'
N. Bannis · Assist: D. Hoogewerf
Vitesse
🔄
46'
N. Zonneveld ↔ S. Bonnah
Vitesse
51'
M. Diemers
Cambuur
🟨
55'
Xiamaro Thenu
Vitesse
🟨
58'
Tomas Galvez
Cambuur
🔄
63'
E. Apkakou ↔ T. Rolke
Cambuur
🔄
63'
B. Marsman ↔ R. Mulders
Cambuur
🔄
66'
D. Hoogewerf ↔ Y. Ranon
Vitesse
🔄
67'
N. Bannis ↔ E. Huth
Vitesse
🔄
74'
J. Amofa ↔ T. Jonker
Cambuur
🔄
74'
A. Tahaui ↔ M. Marschalk
Vitesse
🔄
81'
R. Balk ↔ K. Visser
Cambuur
🔄
81'
F. Kvam ↔ I. Henstra
Cambuur
🔄
83'
R. Schwarz ↔ C. Olde Keizer
Vitesse
85'
I. Ferrah · Assist: K. Visser
Cambuur

Cambuur vs Vitesse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
84.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Cambuur Win 58.7%
Draw 2.6%
Vitesse Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cambuur1.75
Vitesse1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cambuur Cambuur
WWDLW
73 GF / 47 GA
Vitesse Vitesse
WLDWL
63 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
24
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
25
5.76
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cambuur Cambuur 37 matches
Vitesse Vitesse 37 matches
Cambuur Statistic Vitesse
22 Wins 15
9 Draws 11
6 Losses 11
73 Goals For 63
47 Goals Against 53
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
24 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 33
21 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 8
5.76 Shots On Goal 5.05
14.43 Total Shots 14.7
6.27 Corners 4.95
57.3% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cambuur expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vitesse in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vitesse having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vitesse. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Cambuur arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 75 points compared to Vitesse in 11 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cambuur Analysis

Cambuur arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 75 points after 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 72:44 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Ferrah (11 goals), O. Sjostrand (10 goals), J. van der Sande (9 goals), with creative support from M. Diemers (12 assists), O. Sjostrand (6 assists), J. Amofa (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Vitesse Analysis

Vitesse are currently 11 in the standings with 44 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 60:53 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Zonneveld (9 goals), D. Hoogewerf (8 goals), Naoufal Bannis (8 goals), with creative support from Adam Tahaui (10 assists), N. Zonneveld (5 assists), J. Pinto (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cambuur won 6 times, Vitesse won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:31 from Cambuur's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.5%)
Predicted formations: Cambuur 4-3-3 / Vitesse 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cambuur wins 6, draws 1, Vitesse wins 8

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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