ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
21.04.2026 18:45
Abbey Stadium
Referee: J. Miles
Cambridge United
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
K. Green · Assist: R. Staunton
Grimsby
41'
B. Knight · Assist: A. Mayor
Cambridge United
🟨
42'
Géza Dávid Turi
Grimsby
🟨
58'
Maldini Kacurri
Grimsby
🔄
68'
G. D. Turi ↔ J. Walker
Grimsby
🔄
69'
K. Green ↔ C. Vernam
Grimsby
🔄
73'
P. Mpanzu ↔ K. Smith
Cambridge United
🔄
73'
L. Appere ↔ E. Nevitt
Cambridge United
🔄
80'
A. Mayor ↔ J. Brophy
Cambridge United
🔄
89'
C. Oduor ↔ T. Warren
Grimsby
🔄
90+5'
L. Bennett ↔ G. McConnell
Cambridge United
🔄
90+3'
R. Staunton ↔ J. Sweeney
Grimsby
90'
C. McJannet
Grimsby

Cambridge United vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Cambridge United Win 53.3%
Draw 11.7%
Grimsby Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cambridge United1.32
Grimsby1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cambridge United Cambridge United
WWDLW
67 GF / 34 GA
Grimsby Grimsby
WLDWL
77 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
23
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cambridge United Cambridge United 46 matches
Grimsby Grimsby 47 matches
Cambridge United Statistic Grimsby
22 Wins 23
16 Draws 11
8 Losses 13
67 Goals For 77
34 Goals Against 52
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
21 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 32
16 Over 2.5 23
7 Over 3.5 17
20 Clean Sheets 17
11 Failed To Score 9
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.61
11.11 Total Shots 13.59
5.44 Corners 6.09
49.9% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Grimsby. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cambridge United expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control.

Cambridge United Analysis

Placed 3 with 78 points from 43 outings, Cambridge United continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 21 wins, 15 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 62:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ben Knight (9 goals), S. Kaikai (9 goals), L. Appere (7 goals), with creative support from J. Brophy (8 assists), James Gibbons (6 assists), Ben Knight (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Grimsby Analysis

So far, Grimsby have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 71 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 62:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Kabia (14 goals), K. Green (12 goals), C. Vernam (10 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (10 assists), K. Green (5 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cambridge United won 6 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Cambridge United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Cambridge United 3-4-2-1 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cambridge United wins 6, draws 4, Grimsby wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation