31.08.2026 14:00
The Oval
Referee: J. Walker
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
The New Saints
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
B. Wilson
The New Saints
21'
R. Hughes
The New Saints
🟨
23'
J. Canavan
Caernarfon Town
42'
O. Evans
Caernarfon Town
55'
A. Cieslewicz
Caernarfon Town
🟨
59'
R. Sears
Caernarfon Town
🔄
74'
J. Canavan ↔ P. Mendes
Caernarfon Town
🔄
74'
B. Wilson ↔ B. Young
The New Saints
🔄
74'
I. Jefferies ↔ J. Williams
The New Saints
🔄
74'
D. Redmond ↔ Z. Nolan
The New Saints
76'
D. Davies
The New Saints
🔄
88'
R. Sears ↔ P. Mooney
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
M. Jones ↔ C. Marriott
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
S. Bradley ↔ S. Nyamwanza
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
O. Evans ↔ O. Zanzala
Caernarfon Town
🔄
89'
J. Lock ↔ R. Holden
The New Saints
🟨
90'
D. Simeu
The New Saints
🟨
90+4'
J. Piggott
Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.7%
1.10
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.61
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 30.3%
Draw 21.3%
The New Saints Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.42
The New Saints1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
18 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.64
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
4
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 8 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 11 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic The New Saints
5 Wins 6
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
15 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 8
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 1 times, The New Saints won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:46 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 1, draws 0, The New Saints wins 14

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)