Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
69.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
53.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 30.3%
Draw 21.3%
The New Saints Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.14
The New Saints1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
10 GF / 14 GA
The New Saints
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.3
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
3
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caernarfon Town
7 matches
The New Saints
10 matches
| Caernarfon Town | Statistic | The New Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 10 | Goals For | 13 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 2.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 0.75 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 11.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 1 times, The New Saints won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:46 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 1, draws 0, The New Saints wins 14
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
21.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Trefelin
2
0
W
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
Last matches: The New Saints
21.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
5
0
W
14.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
0
0
D
30.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
14.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
1
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
27.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
20.02.26
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
L
28.11.25
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
04.11.25
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
0
L
07.10.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
11.03.25
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
11.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
26.12.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
2
5
L
09.10.24
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
05.04.24
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
7
1
L
23.02.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
8
L
26.12.23
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
L
26.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
03.01.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
11.11.22
H2H
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
L
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
27.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
07.10.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
11.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
26.12.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
2
5
L
23.02.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
8
L
26.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
03.01.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
Last matches: The New Saints
21.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
5
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
24.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
llanelli AFC
4
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
0
D
H2H away: The New Saints
27.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
W
07.10.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
W
11.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
W
26.12.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
2
5
W
23.02.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
8
W
26.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
W
03.01.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
1
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
The New Saints
Away
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Caernarfon Town
Home
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:9 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)