Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
42.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.5%
|
- |
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caernarfon Town
31 matches
Penybont
33 matches
| Caernarfon Town | Statistic | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 54 | Goals For | 40 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Penybont. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Penybont having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Caernarfon Town sit 4 with 34 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 44:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Davies (11 goals), P. Mooney (7 goals), S. Bradley (6 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Penybont approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 38 points from 22 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 36:31, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Crole (11 goals), N. Daley (11 goals), I. Phillips (4 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 6 times, Penybont won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:29 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Lineups
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
Barry Town
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
The New Saints
Penybont
Barry Town
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
The New Saints
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Cardiff MET
Penybont
llanelli AFC
Penybont
Briton Ferry
Penybont
Barry Town
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
Bala Town
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
Flint Town United
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
Barry Town
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
The New Saints
Penybont
llanelli AFC
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
Flint Town United
Penybont
The New Saints
Penybont
Briton Ferry
Penybont
Cardiff MET
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
Bala Town
Penybont
Barry Town
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 59:19 | 40 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 48:25 | 23 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Penybont
Away
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 5 | 38 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 4 |
Caernarfon Town
Home
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 30 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 23 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 21 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12:59 | -47 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|