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WALES › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Caernarfon Town
FT
1 - 2
Penybont
The Oval
Referee: Jordan Harman
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Penybont
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
R. Sears
Caernarfon Town
🟨
57'
N. Wood
Penybont
⚽
63'
N. Daley
Penybont
🟨
68'
J. Lock
Caernarfon Town
🟨
74'
J. Crole
Penybont
🔄
74'
C. Evans ↔ O. Abadaki
Caernarfon Town
⚽
78'
N. Daley
Penybont
🔄
80'
A. Baker ↔ J. Clay
Penybont
🔄
82'
J. Lock ↔ S. Downey
Caernarfon Town
🔄
82'
S. Bradley ↔ O. Ellis
Caernarfon Town
⚽
84'
A. Davies
Caernarfon Town
🟨
90+2'
C. Venables
Penybont

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 0%
Draw 0%
Penybont Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town2.46
Penybont1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
24 GF / 9 GA
Penybont Penybont
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3.43
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 7 matches
Penybont Penybont 9 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Penybont
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
0 Losses 3
24 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 9
3.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 5 times, Penybont won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:31 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Caernarfon Town 5-4-1 / Penybont 4-4-2
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 5, draws 1, Penybont wins 9

Lineups

Caernarfon Town
Formation
Penybont
C. Roberts
C. Roberts
M. Owen
M. Owen
A. Davies
⚽
A. Davies
D. Smith
D. Smith
R. Sears
R. Sears
I. Lewis
I. Lewis
M. Jones
M. Jones
S. Bradley
↓
S. Bradley
D. Gosset
D. Gosset
J. Lock
↓
J. Lock
C. Evans
↓
C. Evans
A. Matthews
A. Matthews
A. Baker
↓
A. Baker
G. Kircough
G. Kircough
B. Borge
B. Borge
K. Owen
K. Owen
M. Davies
M. Davies
N. Daley
⚽ 2
N. Daley
C. Green
C. Green
C. Venables
C. Venables
J. Crole
J. Crole
N. Wood
N. Wood
Caernarfon Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
2
M. Owen
9
A. Davies
⚽ 84'
15
D. Smith
27
R. Sears
🟨 28'
6
I. Lewis
3
M. Jones
19
S. Bradley
↓ 82'
8
D. Gosset
23
J. Lock
↓ 82' 🟨 68'
21
C. Evans
↓ 74'
Substitutes
13
H. Thomas
5
P. Mooney
10
D. Thomas
12
O. Abadaki
↑ 74'
17
S. Downey
↑ 82'
24
K. Harrison
39
O. Ellis
↑ 82'
Penybont 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
A. Matthews
21
A. Baker
↓ 80'
4
G. Kircough
16
B. Borge
3
K. Owen
6
M. Davies
11
N. Daley
⚽ 63' ⚽ 78'
29
C. Green
9
C. Venables
🟨 90+2'
10
J. Crole
🟨 74'
7
N. Wood
🟨 57'
Substitutes
1
L. Armstrong
14
I. Phillips
15
J. Clay
↑ 80'
17
O. Warlow
18
J. Jones
26
R. Griffiths
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
Last matches: Penybont
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
Last matches: Penybont
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
08.11.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
4
3
W
11.10.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
2
6
L
03.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
4
0
W
06.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
3
2
W
08.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
H2H away: Penybont
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
W
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
W
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
W
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
L

Standings

Cymru Premier , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
The New Saints
32 26 2 4 81:25 56 80
W W W L W
2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
32 16 10 6 61:38 23 58
D L D W W
3
Barry Town
32 12 10 10 43:33 10 46
L L W D W
4
Caernarfon Town Home
32 12 9 11 56:47 9 45
W W L L L
5
Colwyn Bay
32 12 9 11 41:37 4 45
L D L D W
6
Penybont Away
32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
W W L L D
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs