Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 0%
Draw 0%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.64
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
42 GF / 30 GA
GAP Connah S Quay FC
WLDWL
46 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caernarfon Town
21 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC
21 matches
| Caernarfon Town | Statistic | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 42 | Goals For | 46 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.19 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 4 times, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:35 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Caernarfon Town 5-4-1 / GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 4, draws 5, GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 6
Lineups
Caernarfon Town
Formation
GAP Connah S Quay FC
C. Roberts
M. Owen
D. Smith
P. Mooney
R. Sears
M. Jones
P. Mendes
D. Gosset
S. Bradley
B. Young
J. Lock
K. Margetson
K. Edwards
B. Nash
C. Marriott
D. Poole
C. West
C. Bratley
A. Sharif
J. Cook
N. Edwards
R. Hughes
Caernarfon Town
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
2
M. Owen
↓ 75'
15
D. Smith
🟨 44'
5
P. Mooney
⚽ 25'
⚽ 81'
🟨 39'
27
R. Sears
3
M. Jones
7
P. Mendes
8
D. Gosset
19
S. Bradley
↓ 59'
14
B. Young
23
J. Lock
Substitutes
13
H. Thomas
10
D. Thomas
21
C. Evans
↑ 75'
24
K. Harrison
33
C. Williams
39
O. Ellis
25
O. Roberts
↑ 59'
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Margetson
6
K. Edwards
5
B. Nash
3
C. Marriott
↓ 29'
22
D. Poole
8
C. West
↓ 85'
11
C. Bratley
⚽ 2'
23
A. Sharif
↓ 85'
26
J. Cook
14
N. Edwards
17
R. Hughes
⚽ 59'
Substitutes
35
R. Berry
10
Z. Ismail
18
M. Woodcock
↑ 85'
21
M. Fregapane
28
J. Jones
↑ 29'
4
D. Roberts
27
F. Redshaw
↑ 85'
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
14.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Trefelin
6
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Holywell
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
L
16.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
2
3
L
08.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Queen of the South
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Larne
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
2
W
03.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
3
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
2
0
W
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
02.08.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
13.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
06.02.26
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
13.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
23.09.25
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
2
W
03.12.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
1
W
17.09.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
02.02.24
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
27.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
6
1
L
14.10.23
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
18.11.22
H2H
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
3
3
D
27.09.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
L
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
13.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
13.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
1
W
15.03.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
27.09.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
L
Last matches: GAP Connah S Quay FC
07.08.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Holywell
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
2
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Queen of the South
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Larne
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Caernarfon Town
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
26.12.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United
2
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
3
0
W
11.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Briton Ferry
3
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Bala Town
3
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Barry Town
0
0
D
20.09.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
1
0
W
22.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pre
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
H2H away: GAP Connah S Quay FC
13.03.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
W
13.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
1
L
15.03.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
W
27.09.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
W
Standings
Cymru Premier , Championship Round
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 56 | 80 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Away
|
32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 23 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 46 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Caernarfon Town
Home
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 45 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 4 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs