Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
38.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- |
Caen
Villefranche
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caen
30 matches
Villefranche
29 matches
| Caen | Statistic | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 15 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 37 | Goals For | 32 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Caen's more proactive style and Villefranche's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Villefranche. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villefranche having the stronger overall control.
Caen sit 8 with 36 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 33:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Botella (8 goals), A. Gnanduillet (5 goals), A. Duville-Parsemain (4 goals), with creative support from I. Botella (4 assists), R. Labonne (4 assists), O. Mazie (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Villefranche are currently 9 in the standings with 36 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, while the 29:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Leye (9 goals), M. Assef (5 goals), K. Mixtur (3 goals), with creative support from R. Mroivili (3 assists), M. Louzif (3 assists), S. Keita (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 1 times, Villefranche won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Caen's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Caen
Rennes
Caen
Aubagne
Caen
Concarneau
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Gobelins
Caen
Stade Briochin
Caen
Rouen
Caen
Orleans
Caen
Le Puy Foot
Caen
Chateauroux
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Sochaux
Caen
Dijon
Caen
Fleury 91
Caen
Versailles
Caen
Quevilly
Caen
Concarneau
Caen
Villefranche
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Bayeux
Villefranche
Concarneau
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Rouen
Villefranche
Orleans
Villefranche
Le Puy Foot
Villefranche
Chateauroux
Villefranche
Valenciennes
Villefranche
Sochaux
Villefranche
Dijon
Villefranche
Fleury 91
Villefranche
Versailles
Villefranche
Quevilly
Villefranche
Aubagne
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Caen
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Rouen
Caen
Concarneau
Caen
Stade Briochin
Caen
Orleans
Caen
Chateauroux
Caen
Sochaux
Caen
Fleury 91
Caen
Quevilly
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Gobelins
Caen
Rouen
Caen
Le Puy Foot
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Dijon
Caen
Versailles
Caen
Aubagne
Caen
Nancy
Villefranche
Concarneau
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Orleans
Villefranche
Chateauroux
Villefranche
Sochaux
Villefranche
Fleury 91
Villefranche
Quevilly
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Rouen
Villefranche
Le Puy Foot
Villefranche
Versailles
Villefranche
Valenciennes
Villefranche
Dijon
Villefranche
Aubagne
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Caen
Home
|
32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Villefranche
Away
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|