Caen vs Villefranche Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
38.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- |
Caen
Villefranche
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caen
30 matches
Villefranche
29 matches
| Caen | Statistic | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 15 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 37 | Goals For | 32 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Caen's more proactive style and Villefranche's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Villefranche. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villefranche having the stronger overall control.
Caen sit 8 with 36 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 33:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Botella (8 goals), A. Gnanduillet (5 goals), A. Duville-Parsemain (4 goals), with creative support from I. Botella (4 assists), R. Labonne (4 assists), O. Mazie (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Villefranche are currently 9 in the standings with 36 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, while the 29:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Leye (9 goals), M. Assef (5 goals), K. Mixtur (3 goals), with creative support from R. Mroivili (3 assists), M. Louzif (3 assists), S. Keita (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 1 times, Villefranche won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Caen's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Caen
Home
|
32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Villefranche
Away
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|