FRANCE NATIONAL 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caen Win 47.9%
Draw 17.4%
Valenciennes Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caen2.27
Valenciennes2.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caen Caen
WWDLW
13 GF / 8 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
12 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
3.25
Average Goals Scored
2.4
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caen Caen 4 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 5 matches
Caen Statistic Valenciennes
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
13 Goals For 12
8 Goals Against 4
3.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 3 times, Valenciennes won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Caen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
H2H summary: Caen wins 3, draws 7, Valenciennes wins 4
Last matches: Caen
25.07.26
Fri
Caen
Al Wakrah
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Caen
Laval
4
2
W
15.07.26
Fri
Caen
Gobelins
3
4
L
09.07.26
Fri
Caen
Rennes
2
1
W
15.05.26
Nat
Caen
Aubagne
1
3
L
09.05.26
Nat
Caen
Concarneau
0
0
D
24.04.26
Nat
Caen
Villefranche
3
0
W
17.04.26
Nat
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
0
W
10.04.26
Nat
Caen
Gobelins
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
27.03.26
Nat
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Caen
Orleans
1
1
D
13.03.26
Nat
Caen
Le Puy Foot
0
1
L
06.03.26
Nat
Caen
Chateauroux
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
20.02.26
Nat
Caen
Sochaux
1
3
L
13.02.26
Nat
Caen
Dijon
3
3
D
06.02.26
Nat
Caen
Fleury 91
1
0
W
30.01.26
Nat
Caen
Versailles
1
2
L
23.01.26
Nat
Caen
Quevilly
0
0
D
Last matches: Valenciennes
22.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Eastleigh
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Kortrijk
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Dunkerque
2
0
W
15.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
02.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
1
D
24.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
H2H: Caen vs Valenciennes
28.02.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
3
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
2
2
D
18.03.23
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
1
W
05.11.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
1
1
D
15.03.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
1
1
D
02.10.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
02.02.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
1
D
26.09.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
1
0
L
13.03.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
0
0
D
18.10.19
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
20.05.12
H2H
Valenciennes
Caen
3
1
L
06.08.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
0
W
19.02.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
2
D
Last matches: Caen
25.07.26
Fri
Caen
Al Wakrah
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Caen
Laval
4
2
W
15.07.26
Fri
Caen
Gobelins
3
4
L
09.05.26
Nat
Caen
Concarneau
0
0
D
24.04.26
Nat
Caen
Villefranche
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Caen
Orleans
1
1
D
06.03.26
Nat
Caen
Chateauroux
2
2
D
20.02.26
Nat
Caen
Sochaux
1
3
L
06.02.26
Nat
Caen
Fleury 91
1
0
W
23.01.26
Nat
Caen
Quevilly
0
0
D
21.11.25
Nat
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
0
W
07.11.25
Nat
Caen
Gobelins
0
0
D
21.10.25
Nat
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
03.10.25
Nat
Caen
Le Puy Foot
2
0
W
19.09.25
Nat
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
05.09.25
Nat
Caen
Dijon
0
0
D
22.08.25
Nat
Caen
Versailles
0
2
L
08.08.25
Nat
Caen
Aubagne
3
0
W
13.08.19
Cou
Caen
Nancy
0
1
L
H2H at home: Caen
19.09.25
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
3
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
02.02.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
1
D
18.10.19
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
06.08.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
0
W
19.02.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
2
D
Last matches: Valenciennes
22.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Eastleigh
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Kortrijk
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Dunkerque
2
0
W
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
02.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
1
D
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
05.12.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
4
L
07.11.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
1
D
21.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
1
1
D
19.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
0
0
D
05.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
22.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
1
2
L
08.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
0
0
D
13.08.19
Cou
Valenciennes
Ajaccio
1
4
L
H2H away: Valenciennes
19.09.25
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
17.05.24
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
3
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
1
L
02.10.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
W
02.02.21
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
1
D
18.10.19
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
0
0
D
06.08.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
1
0
L
19.02.11
H2H
Caen
Valenciennes
2
2
D

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Caen Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation