Login Register
ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Deportivo Moron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
E. Iniguez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
37'
M. Bittolo
Deportivo Moron
⚽
53'
F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
🔄
54'
E. Franco ↔ G. Berterame
Deportivo Moron
🔄
54'
M. Gonzalez ↔ J. Esquivel
Deportivo Moron
🔄
68'
E. Acosta ↔ M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
68'
I. Vera ↔ L. Silva
CA Estudiantes
🔄
70'
E. Iniguez ↔ E. Contreras
Deportivo Moron
🔄
70'
M. Bittolo ↔ F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🟨
76'
F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
🔄
79'
F. Quinteros ↔ T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
79'
F. Ardiles ↔ F. Dure
CA Estudiantes
🔄
83'
F. Sena ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🟨
84'
L. Silva
CA Estudiantes
🔄
85'
I. M. Vaquero ↔ L. Cardozo
Deportivo Moron
⚽
87'
M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🟨
88'
M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🟨
89'
F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
89'
S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes

CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.4%
Odds 3.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 3.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.4%
3.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
3.54 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.68 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
41.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 39.9%
Draw 15.8%
Deportivo Moron Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.93
Deportivo Moron1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
29 GF / 29 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
53 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
19
9
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 33 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 34 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Deportivo Moron
12 Wins 18
9 Draws 7
12 Losses 9
29 Goals For 53
29 Goals Against 34
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 19
18 Over 1.5 27
9 Over 2.5 19
1 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Moron. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes are currently 7 in the standings with 45 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Deportivo Moron come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 58 points after 32 matches. The return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 51:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 4 times, Deportivo Moron won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 4, draws 5, Deportivo Moron wins 6

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation