ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Deportivo Madryn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
🔄
46'
E. Acosta ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🟥
53'
Caro Nicolas
CA Estudiantes
🔄
57'
J. Correa ↔ B. Bernardi
CA Estudiantes
🔄
65'
J. Cosi ↔ A. Dionisio
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
65'
M. Meli ↔ C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
65'
N. Servetto ↔ J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
66'
R. Melo
CA Estudiantes
🔄
75'
M. Acosta ↔ T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
75'
F. Ardiles ↔ B. Degregorio
CA Estudiantes
76'
L. Silba · Assist: J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
80'
L. Silba ↔ A. Gutierrez
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
80'
F. Giacopuzzi ↔ N. D. Ortiz
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
83'
F. Dure
CA Estudiantes
🔄
84'
F. Dure ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🟨
90+2'
N. Solis
Deportivo Madryn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 42.6%
Draw 20.4%
Deportivo Madryn Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.91
Deportivo Madryn1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
20 GF / 21 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
8
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 24 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 23 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Deportivo Madryn
8 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 6
20 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 24
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
8 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 12
0 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Madryn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes sit 8 with 31 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 19:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn are currently 9 in the standings with 30 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 0 times, Deportivo Madryn won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 0, draws 2, Deportivo Madryn wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 26 11 7 8 29:24 5 40
L W L W W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 26 6 9 11 22:30 -8 27
W D L L W
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 26 5 7 14 19:32 -13 22
L L D L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation