Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.39
Real Madrid2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Real Madrid
WLDWL
24 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
8
4.8
Shots on Goal
8.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
9 matches
Real Madrid
10 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 8 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 16 | Goals For | 24 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.8 | Shots On Goal | 8.6 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 19.2 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 7 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 52.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, Real Madrid won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:26 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 5, draws 4, Real Madrid wins 6
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
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Relegation