ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
15.08.2026 22:00
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Chacarita Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
N. Chaves
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
42'
S. Vittor
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
47'
R. Melo
CA Estudiantes
🟨
52'
F. Dure
CA Estudiantes
🟨
60'
M. Melendez
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
62'
A. Maldonado
Chacarita Juniors
63'
I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
64'
B. Calderara ↔ M. Sanabria
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
65'
F. Dure ↔ B. Bernardi
CA Estudiantes
🟨
66'
F. Sena
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
A. Maldonado ↔ M. Leyendeker
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
71'
M. Melendez ↔ M. Cuero
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
72'
C. Guanca ↔ L. Brun
Chacarita Juniors
76'
F. Ardiles · Assist: I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
79'
F. Quinteros ↔ T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
79'
R. Melo ↔ L. Silva
CA Estudiantes
🔄
80'
J. Correa ↔ M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
F. Facello ↔ A. Cuello
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
84'
I. Vera ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🟨
90'
M. Albarracin
CA Estudiantes
🟥
90+1'
M. Leyendeker
Chacarita Juniors

CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 71.3%
Draw 5.4%
Chacarita Juniors Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.9
Chacarita Juniors0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
20 GF / 22 GA
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
8
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 25 matches
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 23 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Chacarita Juniors
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 11
20 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 24
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
8 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights CA Estudiantes's more proactive style and Chacarita Juniors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chacarita Juniors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chacarita Juniors having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

So far, CA Estudiantes have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

With 26 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Chacarita Juniors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 7 times, Chacarita Juniors won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 7, draws 5, Chacarita Juniors wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
2 29 16 7 6 34:25 9 55
D D D W W
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 29 10 9 10 26:25 1 39
W L D L W
8 29 9 12 8 24:26 -2 39
D L W D L
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 29 6 14 9 27:35 -8 32
D D D L D
14 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
15 29 6 13 10 16:25 -9 31
L W D L W
16 29 7 10 12 23:33 -10 31
W D L W D
17 29 6 12 11 23:33 -10 30
D L L L L
18 29 5 8 16 19:34 -15 23
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation