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27.10.2026 19:45

Buxton vs Harborough Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.1%
1.89 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.93 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Buxton Win 64.1%
Draw 20.7%
Harborough Town Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buxton1.46
Harborough Town1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buxton Buxton
W D L L L
5 GF / 11 GA
Harborough Town Harborough Town
D W W W L
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buxton Buxton 19 matches
Harborough Town Harborough Town 17 matches
Buxton Statistic Harborough Town
10 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 4
30 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 22
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 10.5
0 Corners 3.5
0% Ball Possession 28.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Harborough Town. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Harborough Town having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Buxton arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 20 points compared to Harborough Town in 16 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Buxton Analysis

So far, Buxton have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 23:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Harborough Town Analysis

Harborough Town sit 16 with 16 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 12:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.8%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation