Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Derby
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
67.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 32.6%
Draw 22.2%
Derby Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion0.75
Derby1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion
WWDLW
1 GF / 5 GA
Derby
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.25
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burton Albion
4 matches
Derby
4 matches
| Burton Albion | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 1 | Goals For | 7 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 0.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 4 times, Derby won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Burton Albion's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 4, draws 2, Derby wins 4
Lineups
Burton Albion
Formation
Derby
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
G. Evans
F. Delap
K. Lofthouse
S. Krubally
K. Chauke
T. Kalinauskas
J. Armer
T. Shade
M. Dennis
J. Widell Zetterstrom
C. Forsyth
M. Clarke
B. Clark
C. Morris
M. Johnston
J. Ward
L. Travis
D. Sanderson
O. Fraulo
F. Bilbija
Burton Albion
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
34
C. Addai
6
T. Sibbick
12
G. Evans
26
F. Delap
15
K. Lofthouse
41
S. Krubally
4
K. Chauke
27
T. Kalinauskas
3
J. Armer
10
T. Shade
⚽ 11'
19
M. Dennis
Substitutes
L. Joubert
40
Trialist A
14
B. Trialist
Trialist C
20
M. Matthews Lewis
56
Z. Scutt
Derby
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
3
C. Forsyth
5
M. Clarke
8
B. Clark
9
C. Morris
22
M. Johnston
23
J. Ward
27
L. Travis
28
D. Sanderson
29
O. Fraulo
7
F. Bilbija
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
50
S. Kane
19
S. Szmodics
14
K. Wren
16
D. Hodges
K. Myers
4
A. Osayande
Last matches: Burton Albion
28.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Alfreton Town
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Luton
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
H2H: Burton Albion vs Derby
01.08.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
26.07.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
2
1
W
15.01.24
H2H
Derby
Burton Albion
3
2
L
12.08.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
0
3
L
22.04.23
H2H
Derby
Burton Albion
1
0
L
10.12.22
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
1
D
14.04.18
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
3
1
W
02.12.17
H2H
Derby
Burton Albion
1
0
L
21.02.17
H2H
Derby
Burton Albion
0
0
D
26.08.16
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
Last matches: Burton Albion
22.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Birmingham
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Burton Albion
Leicester
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Huddersfield
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
5
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
0
4
L
15.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Burton Albion
St Albans City
6
0
W
H2H at home: Burton Albion
01.08.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
26.07.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
2
1
W
12.08.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
0
3
L
10.12.22
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
1
D
14.04.18
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
3
1
W
26.08.16
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
01.08.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
2
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
0
3
W
10.12.22
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
1
D
14.04.18
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
3
1
L
26.08.16
H2H
Burton Albion
Derby
1
0
L