Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Derby
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
67.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 32.6%
Draw 22.2%
Derby Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion0.75
Derby1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion
WWDLW
1 GF / 5 GA
Derby
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.25
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burton Albion
4 matches
Derby
4 matches
| Burton Albion | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 1 | Goals For | 7 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 0.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 4 times, Derby won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Burton Albion's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-2-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 4, draws 2, Derby wins 4