Login Register
TURKEY › 1. LIG
11.10.2026 16:00
Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu
Referee: Fatih Tokail
Bursaspor
Match Timeline
Mardin 1969
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Kerim Alıcı
Mardin 1969
⚽
21'
T. Teklic
Mardin 1969
🟨
25'
Zeki Yavru
Bursaspor
🟨
38'
Ivan Šaranić
Bursaspor
🔄
46'
L. Baker ↔ E. Akcan
Bursaspor
🔄
46'
E. Gultekin ↔ B. Basyigit
Bursaspor
🔄
46'
I. Saranic ↔ H. Maldar
Bursaspor
🟨
47'
Alperen Babacan
Bursaspor
🟨
49'
Uğur Adem Gezer
Mardin 1969
🟨
62'
Tonio Teklić
Mardin 1969
🔄
64'
K. Alici ↔ E. Korkmaz
Mardin 1969
🔄
73'
M. Sengul ↔ B. Dogan
Mardin 1969
🔄
73'
O. Kayode ↔ O. Yildirim
Mardin 1969
🔄
80'
B. Gok ↔ E. Ersoy
Bursaspor
⚽
81'
K. Iheanacho
Bursaspor
🔄
85'
T. Teklic ↔ E. Tasdemir
Mardin 1969
🔄
85'
D. Denic ↔ M. Wilks
Mardin 1969
🟨
90+7'
Kerem Matışlı
Bursaspor
🟨
90+7'
Baba Alhassan
Mardin 1969
🟨
90+5'
Zdravko Dimitrov
Mardin 1969
🟨
90+3'
Baba Alhassan
Mardin 1969
🟥
90+7'
Baba Alhassan
Mardin 1969
⚽
90'
Z. Dimitrov · Assist: E. Tasdemir
Mardin 1969

Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
1.59 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.84 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bursaspor Win 63.2%
Draw 5.3%
Mardin 1969 Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bursaspor1.35
Mardin 19690.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bursaspor Bursaspor
WWDLW
18 GF / 8 GA
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969
WLDWL
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
2
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bursaspor Bursaspor 10 matches
Mardin 1969 Mardin 1969 9 matches
Bursaspor Statistic Mardin 1969
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
18 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 6
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 4
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.63
12.75 Total Shots 12.63
5.88 Corners 5.25
57% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mardin 1969. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bursaspor come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bursaspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Mardin 1969 in 7 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bursaspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mardin 1969 in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mardin 1969 having the stronger overall control.

Bursaspor Analysis

Bursaspor come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 8 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kelechi Iheanacho (9 goals), Lincoln (2 goals), Alperen Babacan (1 goals), with creative support from Kelechi Iheanacho (2 assists), Lincoln (1 assists), Alperen Babacan (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Mardin 1969 Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Mardin 1969 have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Olarenwaju Kayode (3 goals), Tonio Teklić (2 goals), Zdravko Dimitrov (1 goals), with creative support from Olarenwaju Kayode (1 assists), Zdravko Dimitrov (1 assists), Bunyamin Balat (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bursaspor won 2 times, Mardin 1969 won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Bursaspor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Bursaspor 4-2-3-1 / Mardin 1969 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Bursaspor wins 2, draws 0, Mardin 1969 wins 0

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation