TURKEY 1. LIG
13.09.2026 17:00
Timsah Arena
Referee: Alper Akarsu, Türkiye
Bursaspor
Match Timeline
Esenler Erokspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
K. Iheanacho · Assist: I. Saranic
Bursaspor
18'
M. Okyar
Esenler Erokspor
20'
Lincoln
Bursaspor
🟨
27'
Guélor Kanga
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
46'
F. Orak ↔ N. Janvier
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
46'
A. Zeqiri ↔ B. Coban
Esenler Erokspor
50'
Y. Erdogan · Assist: G. Kanga
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
54'
Y. Erdogan ↔ Y. Ozyurt
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
63'
B. Gok ↔ T. Bayramov
Bursaspor
🔄
63'
H. Akbunar ↔ A. Boutrah
Bursaspor
🟨
72'
Kelechi Iheanacho
Bursaspor
🔄
75'
E. Akcan ↔ S. Aydogdu
Bursaspor
🔄
75'
I. Saranic ↔ H. Maldar
Bursaspor
🔄
77'
B. Samudio ↔ E. Kas
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
77'
↔ M. Buljubasic
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
83'
Z. Yavru ↔ R. Berisbek
Bursaspor
🟨
90+6'
Juergen Elitim
Bursaspor
VAR
90'
Kelechi Iheanacho
Bursaspor
🟨
90+1'
Erdem Canpolat
Esenler Erokspor

Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.1%
1.79
BTTS No
55%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.43
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Bursaspor Win 58.1%
Draw 14.7%
Esenler Erokspor Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bursaspor1.45
Esenler Erokspor0.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bursaspor Bursaspor
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WLDWL
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.33
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
4.17
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bursaspor Bursaspor 8 matches
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 6 matches
Bursaspor Statistic Esenler Erokspor
6 Wins 0
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
14 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 6
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
4.17 Shots On Goal 3.17
12.83 Total Shots 12.67
5.83 Corners 5
58% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bursaspor's more proactive style and Esenler Erokspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Esenler Erokspor. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bursaspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Esenler Erokspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Esenler Erokspor having the stronger overall control. Bursaspor come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Bursaspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to Esenler Erokspor in 14 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Bursaspor Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 5 games, Bursaspor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 10:3, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Ịheanachọ (4 goals), Lincoln (1 goals), A. Babacan (1 goals), with creative support from K. Ịheanachọ (2 assists), Lincoln (1 assists), R. Berişbek (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

Esenler Erokspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 4 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, and the 2:3 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Bursaspor won 0 times, Esenler Erokspor won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Bursaspor's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Bursaspor 4-2-3-1 / Esenler Erokspor 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Bursaspor wins 0, draws 2, Esenler Erokspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation