Burnley vs Wolves Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76.2%
|
2.39 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Burnley
Wolves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
16 matches
Wolves
13 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 21 | Goals For | 23 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 14.2 | Total Shots | 15.89 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Wolves's more proactive style and Burnley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wolves. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Wolves carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 14 points while Burnley sit 24 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
With 4 points from 8 games and a place of 24, Burnley still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Z. Amdouni (2 goals), Zian Flemming (2 goals), L. Ramazani (1 goals), with creative support from L. Ramazani (1 assists), Max Alleyne (1 assists), J. Bruun Larsen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Wolves approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 14 points after 7 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 15:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fer López (3 goals), R. Jiménez (3 goals), Rodrigo Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Fer López (2 assists), André (2 assists), Rodrigo Gomes (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 5 times, Wolves won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Burnley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Wolves
Away
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 21 |
Burnley
Home
|
10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
L
|