ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
16.08.2026 15:00
Turf Moor
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Burnley
Match Timeline
West Ham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
M. Kilman · Assist: J. Bowen
West Ham
🟨
33'
Mohamadou Kanté
West Ham
🔄
46'
Pablo ↔ J. Ward-Prowse
West Ham
🔄
57'
U. Raghouber ↔ J. Laurent
Burnley
🔄
57'
H. Mejbri ↔ Z. Amdouni
Burnley
🟨
67'
Valentín Castellanos
West Ham
72'
M. Solomon
West Ham
🔄
76'
B. Humphreys ↔ Lucas Pires
Burnley
🔄
76'
A. Ramsey ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
🔄
82'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
83'
Z. Flemming
Burnley
🟨
84'
Zian Flemming
Burnley
🟨
84'
Mads Hermansen
West Ham
🔄
87'
O. Scarles ↔ M. Diouf
West Ham
🔄
89'
M. Solomon ↔ J. Veltman
West Ham
🟨
90+5'
El Hadji Malick Diouf
West Ham
90'
Z. Flemming · Assist: M. Alleyne
Burnley

Burnley vs West Ham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 27.3%
Draw 15.5%
West Ham Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley0.8
West Ham1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
6 GF / 13 GA
West Ham West Ham
WLDWL
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 6 matches
West Ham West Ham 4 matches
Burnley Statistic West Ham
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
6 Goals For 7
13 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 4 times, West Ham won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Burnley's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / West Ham 4-4-2
Missing players: Burnley 2, West Ham 2
H2H summary: Burnley wins 4, draws 5, West Ham wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 20:9 11 14
W W W W D
2 6 4 1 1 9:6 3 13
W W D L W
3 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D W W D
4 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D L W W D
5 6 3 2 1 6:7 -1 11
D L D W W
6 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
7 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
8 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
9 6 3 0 3 10:9 1 9
W W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
W L W D D
11 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
12 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W L L D D
13 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 7
W D D W W
14 6 1 4 1 8:8 0 7
L D D W D
15 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
D W W L L
16 7 1 4 2 7:11 -4 7
L D D W L
17 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
18 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
L L D L W
19 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
20 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L L D D
21 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L D
22 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L L W L D
23 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
D L D L L
24 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One