ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2025 14:00
Turf Moor
Referee: T. Robinson
Burnley
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
L. Ugochukwu · Assist: K. Walker
Burnley
🟨
52'
Jaidon Anthony
Burnley
🔄
58'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ L. Tchaouna
Burnley
🔄
66'
B. Aaronson ↔ D. James
Leeds
🔄
66'
J. Harrison ↔ L. Nmecha
Leeds
68'
L. Tchaouna · Assist: Florentino
Burnley
🔄
73'
A. Stach ↔ J. Piroe
Leeds
🔄
77'
Z. Flemming ↔ J. Laurent
Burnley
🔄
81'
E. Ampadu ↔ A. Tanaka
Leeds
🔄
83'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ H. Mejbri
Burnley
🔄
83'
J. Anthony ↔ A. Barnes
Burnley
🟨
90+2'
Hannibal Mejbri
Burnley
🟨
90+2'
Pascal Struijk
Leeds

Burnley vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.23
Leeds1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
7 GF / 15 GA
Leeds Leeds
WLDWL
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
2.57
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 7 matches
Leeds Leeds 7 matches
Burnley Statistic Leeds
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 3
7 Goals For 7
15 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
2.57 Shots On Goal 3.43
8 Total Shots 12.14
3 Corners 4
35% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 6 times, Leeds won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Burnley's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 4-3-3
H2H summary: Burnley wins 6, draws 4, Leeds wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds Away
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship