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11.09.2026 18:30
Municipal El Plantio
Referee: G. Etayo
Burgos
Match Timeline
AD Ceuta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
C. Hernandez · Assist: K. Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
20'
A. Dadie Izagirre · Assist: J. Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
27'
Gabriel Okoro
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
48'
J. Karrikaburu · Assist: D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Burgos
🟨
62'
José Gragera
Burgos
🟨
66'
Kuki Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
66'
U. Vencedor ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🔄
66'
J. Llabres ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🔄
66'
J. Karrikaburu ↔ A. Fores
Burgos
🔄
71'
E. Sevikyan ↔ U. Konare
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
75'
J. Gragera ↔ O. Luengo
Burgos
🔄
81'
C. Sanchez ↔ S. Lencina
Burgos
🔄
81'
M. Mensah ↔ Toni Abad
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
Matos Jose ↔ J. Gonzalez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
C. Okoro ↔ A. Melendez
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
82'
C. Redruello Nimo
Burgos
🔄
84'
A. Camacho ↔ J. Escobar
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
86'
David González
Burgos
🟨
90'
Alberto Dadie
Burgos

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Burgos Win 67%
Draw 12.2%
AD Ceuta FC Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burgos1.45
AD Ceuta FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burgos Burgos
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burgos Burgos 9 matches
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 8 matches
Burgos Statistic AD Ceuta FC
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 0
2 Losses 6
9 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 2.75
12 Total Shots 11.75
4.25 Corners 4.75
53% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Burgos won 0 times, AD Ceuta FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Burgos's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Burgos 4-4-2 / AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Burgos wins 0, draws 1, AD Ceuta FC wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation