11.09.2026 18:30
Burgos
Match Timeline
AD Ceuta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Carlos Hernández · Assist: Kuki Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
20'
Alberto Dadie · Assist: Jon Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
27'
Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
AD Ceuta FC
48'
Jon Karrikaburu · Assist: David Gonzalez
Burgos
🟨
62'
José Gragera
Burgos
🟨
66'
Kuki Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
66'
Jon Karrikaburu ↔ Álex Forés
Burgos
🔄
66'
Unai Vencedor ↔ Pablo Galdames
Burgos
🔄
66'
Javier Llabrés Exposito ↔ Kevin Appin
Burgos
🔄
71'
Edgar Sevikyan ↔ Umaru Konare
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
75'
José Gragera ↔ Oier Luengo Redondo
Burgos
🔄
81'
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze ↔ José Antonio Abad Martínez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
José Matos ↔ Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro ↔ Alejandro Meléndez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
Curro ↔ Santiago Lencina
Burgos
81'
Carlos Redruello Nimo
Burgos
🔄
84'
Alejandro Camacho Ramírez ↔ Jordi Escobar
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
86'
David Gonzalez
Burgos
🟨
90'
Alberto Dadie
Burgos

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds 1.64
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
1.64
BTTS Yes
75%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.05
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.7%
1.52
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Burgos Win 67%
Draw 12.2%
AD Ceuta FC Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burgos1.45
AD Ceuta FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burgos Burgos
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burgos Burgos 9 matches
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 8 matches
Burgos Statistic AD Ceuta FC
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 0
2 Losses 6
9 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 2.75
12 Total Shots 11.75
4.25 Corners 4.75
53% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Burgos won 0 times, AD Ceuta FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Burgos's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Burgos 4-4-2 / AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Burgos wins 0, draws 1, AD Ceuta FC wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 5 0 1 12:4 8 15
W W W W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:2 6 13
W W D W L
4 6 4 0 2 10:4 6 12
W W W L L
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
W W D D L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
W L W W D
7 6 3 2 1 6:5 1 11
W L D W W
8 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W L W W L
9 6 3 1 2 5:4 1 10
W L L W W
10 6 3 1 2 8:8 0 10
L W D L W
11 6 3 1 2 7:8 -1 10
L W D L W
12 6 2 2 2 8:7 1 8
L W D D W
13 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W D W L
14 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L D L W W
15 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L L W L W
16 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
W L L L W
17 6 1 2 3 4:8 -4 5
L W D L D
18 6 1 2 3 3:8 -5 5
D L W D L
19 6 0 3 3 6:9 -3 3
L L L D D
20 6 1 0 5 9:13 -4 3
L L L L L
21 6 0 1 5 4:10 -6 1
L D L L L
22 6 0 1 5 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation