Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
91.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56%
|
- |
BUL
UPDF
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BUL
23 matches
UPDF
23 matches
| BUL | Statistic | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 25 | Goals For | 17 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by BUL's more proactive style and UPDF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UPDF having the stronger overall control. BUL arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to UPDF in 13 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UPDF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
BUL are currently 8 in the standings with 31 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 24:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Ndugwa (6 goals), I. Wagoina (3 goals), J. Kirya (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, UPDF have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 17 points from 23 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 17:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Ssekamatte (7 goals), E. Ochen (3 goals), S. Kigozi (3 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, BUL won 7 times, UPDF won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from BUL's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
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