UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
19.05.2026 13:00
FUFA Technical Centre
BUL
Match Timeline
Kitara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
K. Ndugwa
BUL
36'
K. Living
Kitara

BUL vs Kitara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
43.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
BUL Win 37.7%
Draw 10.9%
Kitara Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
BUL0.9
Kitara1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
BUL BUL
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
Kitara Kitara
WLDWL
37 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BUL BUL 28 matches
Kitara Kitara 27 matches
BUL Statistic Kitara
9 Wins 15
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 6
29 Goals For 37
28 Goals Against 19
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kitara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kitara having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kitara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 54 points while BUL sit 8 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

BUL Analysis

BUL are currently 8 in the standings with 36 points from 28 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 29:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Ndugwa (6 goals), I. Wagoina (3 goals), J. Kirya (3 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Kitara Analysis

Kitara come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 54 points from 28 matches. The record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 40:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Kaddu (9 goals), G. Ssenkaaba (4 goals), G. Wahab (4 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, BUL won 4 times, Kitara won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from BUL's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: BUL wins 4, draws 3, Kitara wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9
BUL Home
30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League