UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The Royals Park
Buhimba Saints
Match Timeline
Vipers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
H. Mukundane
Vipers
56'
K. Watambala
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 98.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
98.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
51.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Buhimba Saints Win 1.5%
Draw 0%
Vipers Win 98.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buhimba Saints0.64
Vipers2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
WWDLW
16 GF / 48 GA
Vipers Vipers
WLDWL
43 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.95
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
7
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints 23 matches
Vipers Vipers 22 matches
Buhimba Saints Statistic Vipers
4 Wins 15
3 Draws 7
16 Losses 0
16 Goals For 43
48 Goals Against 12
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
7 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vipers's more proactive style and Buhimba Saints's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vipers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 52 points while Buhimba Saints sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vipers. Buhimba Saints have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vipers having the stronger overall control.

Buhimba Saints Analysis

Buhimba Saints approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 16 defeats with a 15:46 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Agondeze (7 goals), R. Ayiko (3 goals), A. Ntege (2 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vipers Analysis

Vipers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 52 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, with a 42:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Watambala (9 goals), A. Usama (8 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Buhimba Saints won 0 times, Vipers won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Buhimba Saints's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Buhimba Saints wins 0, draws 0, Vipers wins 2
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
03.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
0
4
L
Last matches: Vipers
23.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
H2H: Buhimba Saints vs Vipers
21.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
30.01.26
H2H
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
L
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
21.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
1
2
L
31.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
3
L
16.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
2
0
W
H2H at home: Buhimba Saints
21.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
Last matches: Vipers
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
09.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
26.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
H2H away: Vipers
21.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League