UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The Royals Park
Buhimba Saints
Match Timeline
URA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
G. Sekibengo
URA
26'
J. Ssemujju
URA
90'
J. Ssemujju
URA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Buhimba Saints Win 0%
Draw 30.8%
URA Win 69.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buhimba Saints0.75
URA1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
WWDLW
16 GF / 60 GA
URA URA
WLDWL
24 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
0.83
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
7
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints 28 matches
URA URA 29 matches
Buhimba Saints Statistic URA
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 16
21 Losses 9
16 Goals For 24
60 Goals Against 30
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
7 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 11
17 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward URA. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward URA having the stronger overall control. Buhimba Saints have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Buhimba Saints Analysis

With 15 points from 28 games and a place of 16, Buhimba Saints still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 16:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Agondeze (7 goals), R. Ayiko (3 goals), A. Ntege (2 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

URA Analysis

URA sit 11 with 28 points after 29 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 16 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:30 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Living (6 goals), F. Amaku (4 goals), R. Otti (4 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Buhimba Saints won 0 times, URA won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Buhimba Saints's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Buhimba Saints wins 0, draws 0, URA wins 2

Lineups

No lineup data available
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
03.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
0
4
L
Last matches: URA
19.05.26
Pre
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
URA
Maroons
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
URA
UPDF
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
URA
BUL
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
URA
Lugazi
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
2
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
URA
Police
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
0
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
H2H: Buhimba Saints vs URA
22.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
26.11.25
H2H
URA
Buhimba Saints
7
3
L
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
21.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
1
2
L
31.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
3
L
16.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
2
0
W
H2H at home: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
Last matches: URA
08.05.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
URA
UPDF
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
21.11.25
Pre
URA
KCCA
1
2
L
05.11.25
Pre
URA
Maroons
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
URA
Lugazi
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pre
URA
BUL
0
0
D
H2H away: URA
22.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11
URA Away
30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L