UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The Royals Park
Buhimba Saints
Match Timeline
Lugazi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
F. Mungudit
Lugazi
88'
M. Hamza
Lugazi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Buhimba Saints Win 2.2%
Draw 43%
Lugazi Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buhimba Saints0.93
Lugazi1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
WWDLW
16 GF / 54 GA
Lugazi Lugazi
WLDWL
17 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.68
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints 25 matches
Lugazi Lugazi 25 matches
Buhimba Saints Statistic Lugazi
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 8
18 Losses 13
16 Goals For 17
54 Goals Against 34
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lugazi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lugazi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Buhimba Saints Analysis

Buhimba Saints sit 15 with 15 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 16:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Agondeze (7 goals), R. Ayiko (3 goals), A. Ntege (2 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lugazi Analysis

Lugazi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 17:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mungudit (4 goals), A. Kalanzi (3 goals), A. Mulindi (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Buhimba Saints won 0 times, Lugazi won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Buhimba Saints's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (97.9%)
H2H summary: Buhimba Saints wins 0, draws 0, Lugazi wins 2
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
03.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
0
4
L
Last matches: Lugazi
23.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Maroons
0
1
L
19.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Express
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
0
0
D
06.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Kitara
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
1
L
15.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Calvary
0
0
D
10.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
KCCA
0
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
URA
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
0
3
L
18.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
UPDF
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
2
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
1
2
L
10.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
1
D
H2H: Buhimba Saints vs Lugazi
29.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
5
2
L
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
21.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
1
2
L
31.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
3
L
16.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
2
0
W
H2H at home: Buhimba Saints
29.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
Last matches: Lugazi
19.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
Express
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Lugazi
BUL
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Lugazi
Calvary
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
URA
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
Lugazi
Vipers
0
3
L
12.02.26
Pre
Lugazi
Police
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
SC Villa
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
Mbarara City
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Lugazi
NEC
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
Lugazi
UPDF
0
2
L
25.11.25
Pre
Lugazi
Maroons
0
3
L
30.10.25
Pre
Lugazi
Kitara
0
4
L
16.10.25
Pre
Lugazi
KCCA
0
0
D
01.10.25
Pre
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
H2H away: Lugazi
29.04.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League