UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The Royals Park
Buhimba Saints
Match Timeline
Express
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
60'
M. Wambuga
Express
75'
M. Nyanzi
Express

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
90.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Buhimba Saints Win 0%
Draw 9.2%
Express Win 90.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buhimba Saints0.79
Express1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints
WWDLW
16 GF / 56 GA
Express Express
WLDWL
23 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.88
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
7
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buhimba Saints Buhimba Saints 26 matches
Express Express 26 matches
Buhimba Saints Statistic Express
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 9
19 Losses 10
16 Goals For 23
56 Goals Against 27
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
7 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Express carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 30 points while Buhimba Saints sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Express. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Express having the stronger overall control. Buhimba Saints have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Buhimba Saints Analysis

Buhimba Saints approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 19 defeats with a 16:56 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Agondeze (7 goals), R. Ayiko (3 goals), A. Ntege (2 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Express Analysis

Express sit 10 with 30 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 23:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. K. Ssenoga (8 goals), R. Basangwa (5 goals), K. Kimera (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Buhimba Saints won 0 times, Express won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Buhimba Saints's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Buhimba Saints wins 0, draws 0, Express wins 2

Lineups

No lineup data available
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
19.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
4
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
0
4
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
4
L
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Express
1
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
03.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
0
4
L
Last matches: Express
23.05.26
Pre
Express
Vipers
0
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Express
Lugazi
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
3
2
W
28.04.26
Pre
Express
Mbarara City
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pre
Express
BUL
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Express
UPDF
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pre
Express
Police
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Express
URA
3
1
W
11.03.26
Pre
Express
KCCA
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
Express
Maroons
1
1
D
18.02.26
Pre
Express
Calvary
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
28.01.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Express
Buhimba Saints
3
1
W
08.01.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Express
Maroons
0
4
L
11.12.25
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
H2H: Buhimba Saints vs Express
08.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
24.01.26
H2H
Express
Buhimba Saints
3
1
L
Last matches: Buhimba Saints
22.05.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
URA
0
3
L
29.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Vipers
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Entebbe UPPC
1
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
BUL
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Police
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
NEC
0
1
L
06.01.26
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Maroons
1
0
W
10.12.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
2
2
D
21.11.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Mbarara City
1
2
L
31.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
0
3
L
16.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
2
0
W
H2H at home: Buhimba Saints
08.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
L
Last matches: Express
23.05.26
Pre
Express
Vipers
0
2
L
28.04.26
Pre
Express
Mbarara City
1
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
Express
UPDF
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Express
KCCA
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Express
SC Villa
0
0
D
18.02.26
Pre
Express
Calvary
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Express
NEC
0
0
D
28.01.26
Pre
Express
Kitara
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Express
Maroons
0
4
L
11.12.25
Pre
Express
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
20.11.25
Pre
Express
Lugazi
0
0
D
30.10.25
Pre
Express
BUL
0
0
D
17.10.25
Pre
Express
URA
1
1
D
02.10.25
Pre
Express
Police
1
2
L
H2H away: Express
08.05.26
H2H
Buhimba Saints
Express
0
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L