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BRAZIL › SERIE C
11.10.2026 18:00
Brusque
Match Timeline
Paysandu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🔄
35'
Rafael Milhorim ↔ Raimar
Brusque
🟨
45+3'
Edilson
Paysandu
🟨
53'
Jeferson
Brusque
🟨
56'
Gazao
Brusque
🟨
56'
Brusque
Brusque
🔄
68'
Gazao ↔ Ariel
Brusque
🔄
68'
Adrianinho ↔ Clinton
Brusque
⚽
72'
Jeferson
Brusque
🔄
82'
Joao Maistro ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🔄
82'
Joao Pedro ↔ Macario
Brusque
🔄
83'
Edilson ↔ N. Schiappacasse
Paysandu
🔄
83'
Italo Carvalho ↔ Eduardo
Paysandu
🔄
88'
Pablo ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
🔄
88'
Marcinho ↔ Radsley
Paysandu
🔄
90'
Castro ↔ Lucas Cardoso
Paysandu
🟨
90+7'
Bernardo
Brusque

Brusque vs Paysandu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.5%
1.86 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.08 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.08 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 76.5%
Draw 6.5%
Paysandu Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.49
Paysandu1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 24 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 24 matches
Brusque Statistic Paysandu
10 Wins 10
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 11
37 Goals For 30
31 Goals Against 34
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
17 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Brusque's more proactive style and Paysandu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paysandu. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Brusque Analysis

Placed 2 with 32 points from 19 outings, Brusque continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 28:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 29 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 26:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 3 times, Paysandu won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Brusque's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 3, draws 1, Paysandu wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D D W L
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation