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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
15.08.2026 14:00
Ashton Gate Stadium
Referee: Lewis Smith, England
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Josh Coburn
Millwall
🟨
23'
Adam Randell
Bristol City
🔄
29'
F. Azeez ↔ K. Lisbie
Millwall
🟨
36'
Adam Randell
Bristol City
🟥
36'
Adam Randell
Bristol City
⚽
41'
J. Coburn
Millwall
🟨
45'
Jenson Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
46'
Y. Hirakawa ↔ J. Williams
Bristol City
⚽
50'
J. Coburn · Assist: J. Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
56'
L. Eissat ↔ R. Cardines
Bristol City
🔄
64'
D. Ballard ↔ J. Wallace
Bristol City
🔄
64'
S. Greenwood ↔ E. Riis
Bristol City
🔄
64'
L. Tolaj ↔ S. Bell
Bristol City
🔄
64'
T. Arconte ↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
64'
J. Metcalfe ↔ M. Sykes
Millwall
🔄
82'
Z. Sturge ↔ D. Kelly
Millwall
🔄
83'
J. Coburn ↔ L. Dykes
Millwall

Bristol City vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 72.1%
Draw 5.1%
Millwall Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.26
Millwall0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 7 matches
Millwall Millwall 6 matches
Bristol City Statistic Millwall
2 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
10 Goals For 5
8 Goals Against 6
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 5 times, Millwall won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Bristol City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-3-3
Missing players: Bristol City 2, Millwall 5
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 5, draws 2, Millwall wins 8

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One