Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.2
Derby1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Derby
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bristol City
3 matches
Derby
2 matches
| Bristol City | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 3 | Goals For | 3 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 7 times, Derby won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 7, draws 4, Derby wins 4
Last matches: Bristol City
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Hull City
3
2
W
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H: Bristol City vs Derby
30.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
22.08.25
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
1
1
D
04.01.25
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
3
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
1
3
W
04.12.21
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
30.01.21
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
1
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
12.02.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
3
2
W
20.08.19
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
1
2
W
27.04.19
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
2
L
22.12.18
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
1
1
D
19.01.18
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
0
0
D
16.09.17
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
4
1
W
11.02.17
H2H
Derby
Bristol City
3
3
D
Last matches: Bristol City
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Preston
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
3
0
W
04.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
W
H2H at home: Bristol City
30.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
04.01.25
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
04.12.21
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
W
12.02.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
3
2
W
27.04.19
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
2
L
16.09.17
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
4
1
W
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
H2H away: Derby
30.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
W
04.01.25
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
L
04.12.21
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
1
0
L
12.02.20
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
3
2
L
27.04.19
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
0
2
W
16.09.17
H2H
Bristol City
Derby
4
1
L