ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Amex Stadium
Referee: J. Brooks
Brighton
Match Timeline
Wolves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
J. Hinshelwood · Assist: M. De Cuyper
Brighton
5'
L. Dunk · Assist: M. De Cuyper
Brighton
🟨
24'
Kaoru Mitoma
Brighton
🔄
46'
H. Bueno ↔ D. M. Wolfe
Wolves
🟨
49'
Hwang Hee-chan
Wolves
🔄
58'
K. Mitoma ↔ J. Veltman
Brighton
🔄
67'
M. Mane ↔ J. Bellegarde
Wolves
🔄
67'
Pedro Lima ↔ R. Gomes
Wolves
🟨
68'
André
Wolves
🔄
76'
C. Baleba ↔ Y. Ayari
Brighton
🔄
76'
D. Welbeck ↔ G. Rutter
Brighton
86'
Y. Minteh
Brighton
🔄
88'
M. De Cuyper ↔ S. March
Brighton
🔄
88'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ C. Kostoulas
Brighton
🔄
89'
Joao Gomes ↔ T. Arokodare
Wolves
🔄
89'
Hwang Hee-Chan ↔ A. Gomes
Wolves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 86.3%
Draw 0%
Wolves Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.53
Wolves1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
WWDLW
51 GF / 46 GA
Wolves Wolves
WLDWL
33 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
22
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
18
4.51
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 37 matches
Wolves Wolves 38 matches
Brighton Statistic Wolves
14 Wins 5
11 Draws 9
12 Losses 24
51 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 67
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
22 BTTS Yes 17
31 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 18
4.51 Shots On Goal 3.39
12.95 Total Shots 9.95
4.78 Corners 3.37
52.9% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brighton's more proactive style and Wolves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolves. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brighton expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolves having the stronger overall control. Brighton arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 50 points compared to Wolves in 20 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Wolves arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Brighton Analysis

Brighton sit 8 with 50 points after 35 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 49:42 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Welbeck (13 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Georginio Rutter (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), Georginio Rutter (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 25:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), R. Gomes (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Armstrong (2 assists), Hugo Bueno (2 assists), D. M. Wolfe (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Wolves won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:15 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Wolves 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Brighton 6, Wolves 5
H2H summary: Brighton wins 7, draws 5, Wolves wins 3
Stats
Brighton Brighton
Wolves Wolves
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
578 Total passes 225
498 Passes accurate 154
1.62 expected_goals 0.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Brighton
Formation
Wolves
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
F. Kadioglu
F. Kadioglu
J. P. van Hecke
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
L. Dunk
M. De Cuyper
🎯
M. De Cuyper
C. Baleba
C. Baleba
P. Gross
P. Gross
Y. Minteh
Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
K. Mitoma
D. Welbeck
D. Welbeck
D. Bentley
D. Bentley
Y. Mosquera
Y. Mosquera
S. Bueno
S. Bueno
Toti
Toti
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
Joao Gomes
Joao Gomes
Andre
Andre
H. Bueno
H. Bueno
A. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
M. Mane
M. Mane
Hwang Hee-Chan
Hwang Hee-Chan
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
24
F. Kadioglu
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
⚽ 5'
D
29
M. De Cuyper
🎯 1' 🎯 5' ↓ 88'
D
17
C. Baleba
↓ 76'
M
30
P. Gross
M
11
Y. Minteh
⚽ 86'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
⚽ 1' ↓ 88'
M
22
K. Mitoma
↓ 58' 🟨 24'
M
18
D. Welbeck
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
34
J. Veltman
↑ 58'
D
7
S. March
↑ 88'
M
21
O. Boscagli
D
33
M. O'Riley
M
26
Y. Ayari
↑ 76'
M
19
C. Kostoulas
↑ 88'
F
10
G. Rutter
↑ 76'
F
Wolves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
D. Bentley
G
15
Y. Mosquera
D
4
S. Bueno
D
24
Toti
D
17
Pedro Lima
↓ 67'
M
8
Joao Gomes
↓ 89'
M
7
Andre
🟨 68'
M
3
H. Bueno
↓ 46'
M
9
A. Armstrong
F
36
M. Mane
↓ 67'
F
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
↓ 89' 🟨 49'
F
Substitutes
70
J. Gracey
G
2
M. Doherty
D
27
J. Bellegarde
↑ 67'
M
6
D. M. Wolfe
↑ 46'
D
14
T. Arokodare
↑ 89'
F
21
R. Gomes
↑ 67'
D
37
L. Krejci
D
47
A. Gomes
↑ 89'
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
Last matches: Wolves
24.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Burnley
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Sunderland
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
0
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
2
2
D
06.03.26
FA
Wolves
Liverpool
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Wolves
Grimsby
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Bournemouth
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Manchester City
0
2
L
18.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Newcastle
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Wolves
Shrewsbury
6
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Everton
1
1
D
H2H: Brighton vs Wolves
09.05.26
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
0
2
W
26.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
2
2
D
18.09.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
2
W
28.02.24
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
1
0
L
22.01.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
1
4
W
29.04.23
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
6
0
W
05.11.22
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
2
3
W
30.04.22
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
0
3
W
15.12.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
1
L
09.05.21
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
2
1
L
02.01.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
3
D
07.03.20
H2H
Wolves
Brighton
0
0
D
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
09.05.26
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
26.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
2
2
D
18.09.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
2
W
22.01.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
6
0
W
15.12.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
1
L
02.01.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
3
D
Last matches: Wolves
24.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Burnley
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
0
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
15.02.26
FA
Wolves
Grimsby
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Manchester City
0
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Everton
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Manchester United
1
1
D
27.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Wolves
Sunderland
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Wolves
Newcastle
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pre
Wolves
Bournemouth
0
1
L
H2H away: Wolves
09.05.26
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
2
2
D
18.09.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
2
L
22.01.24
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
6
0
L
15.12.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
0
1
W
02.01.21
H2H
Brighton
Wolves
3
3
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Brighton 6 missing
-
S. Tzimas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Webster
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Gomez
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Milner
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Wieffer
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
S. March
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
Wolves 5 missing
-
L. Chiwome
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Gonzalez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Johnstone
Missing Fixture Knock
OUT
-
L. Krejci
Questionable Neck Injury
OUT
-
J. Sa
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT