Brighton vs Wolves Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Brighton
Wolves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
37 matches
Wolves
38 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 5 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 24 |
| 51 | Goals For | 33 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 4.51 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 12.95 | Total Shots | 9.95 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 3.37 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brighton's more proactive style and Wolves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolves. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brighton expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolves having the stronger overall control. Brighton arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 50 points compared to Wolves in 20 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Wolves arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Brighton sit 8 with 50 points after 35 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 49:42 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Welbeck (13 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Georginio Rutter (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), Georginio Rutter (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Wolves approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 18 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 25:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), R. Gomes (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Armstrong (2 assists), Hugo Bueno (2 assists), D. M. Wolfe (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 7 times, Wolves won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:15 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Wolves
Away
|
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|