Brighton
Match Timeline
Newcastle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.17
Newcastle1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
6
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
4.29
Shots on Goal
4.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
7 matches
Newcastle
9 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 10 | Goals For | 11 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.78 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 11.71 | Total Shots | 11.44 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 6 times, Newcastle won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-3-3
H2H summary: Brighton wins 6, draws 5, Newcastle wins 4
Stats
Brighton
Newcastle
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Brighton
Formation
Newcastle
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
C. Baleba
Y. Ayari
Y. Minteh
G. Rutter
D. Gomez
D. Welbeck
N. Pope
K. Trippier
M. Thiaw
S. Botman
D. Burn
Bruno Guimaraes
S. Tonali
Joelinton
A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
A. Gordon
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
17
C. Baleba
M
↓ 71'
26
Y. Ayari
M
11
Y. Minteh
M
↓ 89'
10
G. Rutter
M
🎯 41'
↓ 71'
25
D. Gomez
M
↓ 36'
18
D. Welbeck
F
⚽ 41'
⚽ 84'
↓ 90'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
↑ 71'
21
O. Boscagli
D
42
D. Coppola
D
↑ 89'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 90'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
↑ 36'
14
T. Watson
F
9
S. Tzimas
F
↑ 71'
58
N. Oriola
F
Newcastle
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
N. Pope
G
2
K. Trippier
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
4
S. Botman
D
33
D. Burn
D
🟨 90+7'
39
Bruno Guimaraes
M
↓ 86'
8
S. Tonali
M
↓ 70'
7
Joelinton
M
↓ 46'
20
A. Elanga
F
↓ 46'
27
N. Woltemade
F
⚽ 76'
10
A. Gordon
F
↓ 70'
Substitutes
32
A. Ramsdale
G
17
E. Krafth
D
28
J. Willock
M
41
J. Ramsey
M
↑ 70'
5
F. Schar
D
23
J. Murphy
M
↑ 46'
11
H. Barnes
M
↑ 70'
18
W. Osula
F
↑ 86'
67
L. Miley
M
🎯 76'
↑ 46'
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
Last matches: Newcastle
16.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
H2H: Brighton vs Newcastle
02.05.26
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
L
18.10.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
1
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
0
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
2
L
18.05.23
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
4
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
0
W
20.09.20
H2H
Newcastle
Brighton
0
3
W
20.07.20
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brighton
18.10.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
0
W
20.07.20
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
Last matches: Newcastle
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
28.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Wolves
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
H2H away: Newcastle
18.10.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
1
L
28.07.23
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
2
W
13.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
3
0
L
20.07.20
H2H
Brighton
Newcastle
0
0
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship