Brighton
Match Timeline
Arsenal
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.07
Arsenal1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
89 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
19
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
24
4.37
Shots on Goal
5.56
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
30 matches
Arsenal
39 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 29 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 3 |
| 40 | Goals For | 89 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.28 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.69 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.37 | Shots On Goal | 5.56 |
| 12.97 | Total Shots | 15.1 |
| 4.77 | Corners | 5.82 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 57.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 4 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brighton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 4, draws 3, Arsenal wins 8
Stats
Brighton
Arsenal
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Brighton
Formation
Arsenal
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
C. Baleba
P. Gross
D. Gomez
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
G. Rutter
D. Raya
J. Timber
C. Mosquera
Gabriel
P. Hincapie
M. Zubimendi
D. Rice
B. Saka
E. Eze
G. Martinelli
V. Gyökeres
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
D
↓ 77'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
🟨 80'
24
F. Kadioglu
D
🟨 81'
17
C. Baleba
M
↓ 78'
30
P. Gross
M
25
D. Gomez
M
↓ 77'
🟨 52'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
↓ 69'
22
K. Mitoma
M
↓ 46'
10
G. Rutter
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
18
D. Welbeck
F
↑ 69'
34
J. Veltman
D
↑ 77'
33
M. O'Riley
M
26
Y. Ayari
M
↑ 78'
🟨 90+4'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
11
Y. Minteh
F
↑ 46'
53
H. Howell
M
↑ 77'
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Raya
G
12
J. Timber
D
🎯 9'
3
C. Mosquera
D
↓ 64'
🟨 11'
6
Gabriel
D
5
P. Hincapie
D
36
M. Zubimendi
M
↓ 80'
41
D. Rice
M
7
B. Saka
M
⚽ 9'
10
E. Eze
M
11
G. Martinelli
M
↓ 60'
14
V. Gyökeres
F
↓ 59'
Substitutes
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
29
K. Havertz
F
↑ 59'
20
N. Madueke
F
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
56
M. Dowman
M
16
C. Norgaard
M
↑ 80'
19
L. Trossard
F
↑ 60'
33
R. Calafiori
D
↑ 64'
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
H2H: Brighton vs Arsenal
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
27.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
L
17.12.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
0
3
W
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
L
09.11.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
3
W
09.04.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
23.05.21
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
L
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
L
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Leeds
4
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Inter
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
Arsenal
Portsmouth
4
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Arsenal
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H away: Arsenal
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
W
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
W
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Away
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|