ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Amex Stadium
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Brighton
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
B. Saka · Assist: J. Timber
Arsenal
🟨
11'
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal
🔄
46'
K. Mitoma ↔ Y. Minteh
Brighton
🟨
52'
Diego Gómez
Brighton
🔄
59'
V. Gyökeres ↔ K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
60'
G. Martinelli ↔ L. Trossard
Arsenal
🔄
64'
C. Mosquera ↔ R. Calafiori
Arsenal
🔄
69'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ D. Welbeck
Brighton
🔄
77'
M. Wieffer ↔ J. Veltman
Brighton
🔄
77'
D. Gomez ↔ H. Howell
Brighton
🔄
78'
C. Baleba ↔ Y. Ayari
Brighton
🟨
80'
Olivier Boscagli
Brighton
🔄
80'
M. Zubimendi ↔ C. Norgaard
Arsenal
🟨
81'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Brighton
🟨
90+4'
Yasin Ayari
Brighton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.07
Arsenal1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
89 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
19
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
24
4.37
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 30 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 39 matches
Brighton Statistic Arsenal
10 Wins 29
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 3
40 Goals For 89
39 Goals Against 27
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 32
15 Over 2.5 24
5 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 3
4.37 Shots On Goal 5.56
12.97 Total Shots 15.1
4.77 Corners 5.82
52.4% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 4 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brighton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 4, draws 3, Arsenal wins 8
Stats
Brighton Brighton
Arsenal Arsenal
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
470 Total passes 322
385 Passes accurate 226
0.82 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Brighton
Formation
Arsenal
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
J. P. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
F. Kadioglu
C. Baleba
C. Baleba
P. Gross
P. Gross
D. Gomez
D. Gomez
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
K. Mitoma
G. Rutter
G. Rutter
D. Raya
D. Raya
J. Timber
🎯
J. Timber
C. Mosquera
C. Mosquera
Gabriel
Gabriel
P. Hincapie
P. Hincapie
M. Zubimendi
M. Zubimendi
D. Rice
D. Rice
B. Saka
B. Saka
E. Eze
E. Eze
G. Martinelli
G. Martinelli
V. Gyökeres
V. Gyökeres
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
↓ 77'
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
21
O. Boscagli
🟨 80'
D
24
F. Kadioglu
🟨 81'
D
17
C. Baleba
↓ 78'
M
30
P. Gross
M
25
D. Gomez
↓ 77' 🟨 52'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
↓ 69'
M
22
K. Mitoma
↓ 46'
M
10
G. Rutter
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
18
D. Welbeck
↑ 69'
F
34
J. Veltman
↑ 77'
D
33
M. O'Riley
M
26
Y. Ayari
↑ 78' 🟨 90+4'
M
29
M. De Cuyper
D
11
Y. Minteh
↑ 46'
F
53
H. Howell
↑ 77'
M
Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Raya
G
12
J. Timber
🎯 9'
D
3
C. Mosquera
↓ 64' 🟨 11'
D
6
Gabriel
D
5
P. Hincapie
D
36
M. Zubimendi
↓ 80'
M
41
D. Rice
M
7
B. Saka
⚽ 9'
M
10
E. Eze
M
11
G. Martinelli
↓ 60'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
29
K. Havertz
↑ 59'
F
20
N. Madueke
F
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
56
M. Dowman
M
16
C. Norgaard
↑ 80'
M
19
L. Trossard
↑ 60'
F
33
R. Calafiori
↑ 64'
D
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
H2H: Brighton vs Arsenal
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
27.12.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
31.08.24
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
L
17.12.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
0
3
W
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
L
09.11.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
3
W
09.04.22
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
1
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
23.05.21
H2H
Arsenal
Brighton
2
0
L
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
W
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
L
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
L
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Arsenal
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Leeds
4
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Inter
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
Arsenal
Portsmouth
4
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Arsenal
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H away: Arsenal
04.03.26
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
04.01.25
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
W
31.12.22
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
4
W
02.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
0
D
29.12.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Brighton
Arsenal
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L