ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
04.03.2026 19:30
Amex Stadium
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Brighton
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
B. Saka · Assist: J. Timber
Arsenal
🟨
11'
Cristhian Mosquera
Arsenal
🔄
46'
K. Mitoma ↔ Y. Minteh
Brighton
🟨
52'
Diego Gómez
Brighton
🔄
59'
V. Gyökeres ↔ K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
60'
G. Martinelli ↔ L. Trossard
Arsenal
🔄
64'
C. Mosquera ↔ R. Calafiori
Arsenal
🔄
69'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ D. Welbeck
Brighton
🔄
77'
M. Wieffer ↔ J. Veltman
Brighton
🔄
77'
D. Gomez ↔ H. Howell
Brighton
🔄
78'
C. Baleba ↔ Y. Ayari
Brighton
🟨
80'
Olivier Boscagli
Brighton
🔄
80'
M. Zubimendi ↔ C. Norgaard
Arsenal
🟨
81'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Brighton
🟨
90+4'
Yasin Ayari
Brighton

Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.07
Arsenal1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
89 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
19
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
24
4.37
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 30 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 39 matches
Brighton Statistic Arsenal
10 Wins 29
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 3
40 Goals For 89
39 Goals Against 27
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 32
15 Over 2.5 24
5 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 3
4.37 Shots On Goal 5.56
12.97 Total Shots 15.1
4.77 Corners 5.82
52.4% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 4 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brighton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 4, draws 3, Arsenal wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship