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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
11.10.2026 19:15
Referee: A. Ingvarsson Ingi
Breidablik
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
V. Einarsson · Assist: O. Omarsson
Breidablik
🔄
46'
S. Magnusson ↔ A. Magnusson
Keflavik
🔄
46'
E. Karlsson ↔ N. Heras
Keflavik
⚽
69'
J. Arnarsson · Assist: H. Gunnlaugsson
Breidablik
🔄
70'
K. Steindorsson ↔ D. Ingvarsson
Breidablik
🔄
70'
J. Arnarsson ↔ B. Thorsteinsson
Breidablik
⚽
76'
E. Ragnarsson · Assist: A. Conteh
Keflavik
🔄
83'
I. Arnason ↔ D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🔄
83'
T. Ulfarsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
83'
V. A. Traustason ↔ B. L. Brynjarsson
Keflavik
🔄
83'
M. Simicic ↔ A. Adalbjorssnos
Keflavik
🔄
88'
A. Conteh ↔ R. Holmarsson
Keflavik
🔄
90'
V. Einarsson ↔ G. Hallsson
Breidablik
⚽
90'
H. Gunnlaugsson
Breidablik

Breidablik vs Keflavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Breidablik Win 58.5%
Draw 17.3%
Keflavik Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Breidablik1.91
Keflavik1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Breidablik Breidablik
L W L L L
8 GF / 13 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
D L L L W
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
17
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Breidablik Breidablik 24 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 24 matches
Breidablik Statistic Keflavik
9 Wins 8
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 11
47 Goals For 36
46 Goals Against 44
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
17 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Breidablik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Keflavik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 30 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 43:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 28 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 33:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Breidablik won 3 times, Keflavik won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Breidablik's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: Breidablik wins 3, draws 1, Keflavik wins 1

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs