WORLD WORLD CUP
29.06.2026 17:00
NRG Stadium
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Brazil
Match Timeline
Japan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Kaishu Sano
Japan
🟨
14'
Casemiro
Brazil
29'
K. Sano
Japan
🟨
45'
Daichi Kamada
Japan
🔄
46'
Lucas Paqueta ↔ Endrick
Brazil
🟨
48'
Danilo
Brazil
56'
Casemiro · Assist: Gabriel
Brazil
🔄
66'
M. Cunha ↔ G. Martinelli
Brazil
🔄
66'
R. Doan ↔ Y. Sugawara
Japan
🔄
66'
K. Nakamura ↔ J. Suzuki
Japan
🔄
78'
J. Ito ↔ S. Machino
Japan
🔄
78'
D. Kamada ↔ A. Tanaka
Japan
🟨
84'
Junnosuke Suzuki
Japan
🔄
90+3'
Casemiro ↔ Fabinho
Brazil
🔄
90+8'
Bruno Guimaraes ↔ Danilo Santos
Brazil
🔄
90+7'
D. Maeda ↔ K. Ogawa
Japan
90'
G. Martinelli · Assist: Bruno Guimaraes
Brazil

Brazil vs Japan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brazil Win 53.2%
Draw 7.4%
Japan Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brazil1.83
Japan1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brazil Brazil
WWDLW
19 GF / 7 GA
Japan Japan
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
2
6
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brazil Brazil 7 matches
Japan Japan 6 matches
Brazil Statistic Japan
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
19 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 3
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
6 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.71 Total Shots 11.5
3.86 Corners 4.17
45% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Brazil won 4 times, Japan won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Brazil's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Brazil 4-3-3 / Japan 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Brazil 1, Japan 0
H2H summary: Brazil wins 4, draws 0, Japan wins 1

Standings

Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 7:1 6 7
L W W W D
2 3 2 1 0 6:3 3 7
L W W W W
3 3 1 0 2 1:4 -3 3
L L W
4 3 0 0 3 2:8 -6 0
L L L
Round of 32