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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Brazil
FT
2 - 1
Japan
NRG Stadium
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Brazil
Match Timeline
Japan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Kaishu Sano
Japan
🟨
14'
Casemiro
Brazil
⚽
29'
K. Sano
Japan
🟨
45'
Daichi Kamada
Japan
🔄
46'
Lucas Paqueta ↔ Endrick
Brazil
🟨
48'
Danilo
Brazil
⚽
56'
Casemiro · Assist: Gabriel
Brazil
🔄
66'
M. Cunha ↔ G. Martinelli
Brazil
🔄
66'
R. Doan ↔ Y. Sugawara
Japan
🔄
66'
K. Nakamura ↔ J. Suzuki
Japan
🔄
78'
J. Ito ↔ S. Machino
Japan
🔄
78'
D. Kamada ↔ A. Tanaka
Japan
🟨
84'
Junnosuke Suzuki
Japan
🔄
90+3'
Casemiro ↔ Fabinho
Brazil
🔄
90+8'
Bruno Guimaraes ↔ Danilo Santos
Brazil
🔄
90+7'
D. Maeda ↔ K. Ogawa
Japan
⚽
90'
G. Martinelli · Assist: Bruno Guimaraes
Brazil

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brazil Win 53.2%
Draw 7.4%
Japan Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brazil1.83
Japan1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brazil Brazil
WWDLW
19 GF / 7 GA
Japan Japan
WLDWL
10 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
2
6
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brazil Brazil 7 matches
Japan Japan 6 matches
Brazil Statistic Japan
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
19 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 3
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 3
6 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.71 Total Shots 11.5
3.86 Corners 4.17
45% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Brazil won 4 times, Japan won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Brazil's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Brazil 4-3-3 / Japan 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Brazil 1, Japan 0
H2H summary: Brazil wins 4, draws 0, Japan wins 1
Stats
Brazil Brazil
Japan Japan
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 2
4 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
682 Total passes 315
625 Passes accurate 261
1.69 expected_goals 0.23
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Brazil
Formation
Japan
Alisson
Alisson
Danilo
Danilo
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
Gabriel
🎯
Gabriel
Douglas Santos
Douglas Santos
Bruno Guimaraes
🎯 ↓
Bruno Guimaraes
Casemiro
⚽ ↓
Casemiro
Lucas Paqueta
↓
Lucas Paqueta
Rayan
Rayan
M. Cunha
↓
M. Cunha
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior
Z. Suzuki
Z. Suzuki
T. Tomiyasu
T. Tomiyasu
S. Taniguchi
S. Taniguchi
H. Ito
H. Ito
R. Doan
↓
R. Doan
K. Sano
⚽
K. Sano
D. Kamada
↓
D. Kamada
K. Nakamura
↓
K. Nakamura
J. Ito
↓
J. Ito
D. Maeda
↓
D. Maeda
A. Ueda
A. Ueda
Brazil 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Alisson
G
13
Danilo
🟨 48'
D
4
Marquinhos
D
3
Gabriel
🎯 56'
D
16
Douglas Santos
D
8
Bruno Guimaraes
🎯 90' ↓ 90+8'
M
5
Casemiro
⚽ 56' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 14'
M
20
Lucas Paqueta
↓ 46'
M
26
Rayan
F
9
M. Cunha
↓ 66'
F
7
Vinicius Junior
F
Substitutes
23
Ederson
G
12
Weverton
G
10
Neymar
F
6
Alex Sandro
D
15
Leo Pereira
D
24
Ibanez
D
22
G. Martinelli
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
F
2
Ederson
M
21
Luiz Henrique
F
19
Endrick
↑ 46'
F
17
Fabinho
↑ 90+3'
M
14
Bremer
D
25
I. Thiago
F
18
Danilo Santos
↑ 90+8'
M
Japan 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Z. Suzuki
G
22
T. Tomiyasu
D
3
S. Taniguchi
D
21
H. Ito
D
10
R. Doan
↓ 66'
M
24
K. Sano
⚽ 29' 🟨 12'
M
15
D. Kamada
↓ 78' 🟨 45'
M
13
K. Nakamura
↓ 66'
M
14
J. Ito
↓ 78'
F
11
D. Maeda
↓ 90+7'
F
18
A. Ueda
F
Substitutes
12
K. Osako
G
23
T. Hayakawa
G
5
Y. Nagatomo
D
4
K. Itakura
D
20
A. Seko
D
2
Y. Sugawara
↑ 66'
D
6
S. Machino
↑ 78'
F
17
Y. Suzuki
M
25
J. Suzuki
↑ 66' 🟨 84'
D
9
K. Goto
F
19
K. Ogawa
↑ 90+7'
F
7
A. Tanaka
↑ 78'
M
8
T. Kubo
F
16
T. Watanabe
D
26
K. Shiogai
F
Last matches: Brazil
05.07.26
Wor
Brazil
Norway
1
2
L
24.06.26
Wor
Brazil
Scotland
3
0
W
20.06.26
Wor
Brazil
Haiti
3
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Brazil
Morocco
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Brazil
Egypt
2
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Brazil
Panama
6
2
W
01.04.26
Fri
Brazil
Croatia
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Brazil
France
1
2
L
Last matches: Japan
25.06.26
Wor
Japan
Sweden
1
1
D
21.06.26
Wor
Japan
Tunisia
4
0
W
14.06.26
Wor
Japan
Netherlands
2
2
D
31.05.26
Fri
Japan
Iceland
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Japan
England
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Japan
Scotland
1
0
W
H2H: Brazil vs Japan
29.06.26
H2H
Brazil
Japan
2
1
W
14.10.25
H2H
Japan
Brazil
3
2
L
06.06.22
H2H
Japan
Brazil
0
1
W
10.11.17
H2H
Japan
Brazil
1
3
W
15.06.13
H2H
Brazil
Japan
3
0
W
Last matches: Brazil
05.07.26
Wor
Brazil
Norway
1
2
L
20.06.26
Wor
Brazil
Haiti
3
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Brazil
Morocco
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Brazil
Egypt
2
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Brazil
Panama
6
2
W
01.04.26
Fri
Brazil
Croatia
3
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Brazil
France
1
2
L
H2H at home: Brazil
29.06.26
H2H
Brazil
Japan
2
1
W
15.06.13
H2H
Brazil
Japan
3
0
W
Last matches: Japan
21.06.26
Wor
Japan
Tunisia
4
0
W
14.06.26
Wor
Japan
Netherlands
2
2
D
31.03.26
Fri
Japan
England
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Japan
Scotland
1
0
W
H2H away: Japan
29.06.26
H2H
Brazil
Japan
2
1
L
15.06.13
H2H
Brazil
Japan
3
0
L

Missing Players

Brazil 1 missing
-
Raphinha
Missing Fixture Hamstring Muscle Injury
OUT
Japan 0 missing
No missing players data