BRAZIL › SERIE D

17.05.2026 19:00

Brasil DE Pelotas

0 - 0

Sao Jose

Brasil DE Pelotas

Match Timeline

Sao Jose

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 62%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 45.3%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 51.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	62%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	45.3%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	51.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Brasil DE Pelotas Win 62%

Draw 7.6%

Sao Jose Win 30.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Brasil DE Pelotas1.17

Sao Jose0.9

Recent Form (Last 5)

Brasil DE Pelotas

WWDLW

7 GF / 9 GA

Sao Jose

WLDWL

3 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

1.17

Average Goals Scored

0.5

1.5

Average Goals Conceded

1.17

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brasil DE Pelotas 6 matches

Sao Jose 6 matches

Brasil DE Pelotas	Statistic	Sao Jose
2	Wins	1
1	Draws	2
3	Losses	3
7	Goals For	3
9	Goals Against	7
1.17	Avg Goals Scored	0.5
1.5	Avg Goals Conceded	1.17
3	BTTS Yes	2
4	Over 1.5	3
3	Over 2.5	2
2	Over 3.5	0
2	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	3
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Jose. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Brasil DE Pelotas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Brasil DE Pelotas Analysis

Brasil DE Pelotas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Morbeck (2 goals), Iury Tanque (2 goals), Alan Bald (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sao Jose Analysis

Sao Jose arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 5 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Caique Trindade (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brasil DE Pelotas won 4 times, Sao Jose won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Brasil DE Pelotas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)

H2H summary: Brasil DE Pelotas wins 4, draws 5, Sao Jose wins 4

Standings

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16:6	10	23	W W D W W
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	6	19	W D D L D
3	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12	D D W L L
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	1	12	D D D W L
5	União Rondonópolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9	L D L W D
6	CEOV Operário	10	1	2	7	7:16	-9	5	L L D L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20	W L W W L
2	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20:11	9	18	L W W L W
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	5	15	W W L L W
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	L W D W L
5	Tocantinópolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	0	12	W L L W W
6	Oratório	10	1	1	8	12:29	-17	4	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 6

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	7	20	W D D D W
2	Maracanã	10	5	4	1	12:6	6	19	W W W D D
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	-2	14	W D L L W
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	6	13	L W W W D
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9	L L L D L
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	-10	4	L L D D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 7

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21	W D W W D
2	Piauí	10	5	2	3	14:11	3	17	W W L W D
3	Fluminense PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	3	14	L D W D L
4	Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	W D L L L
5	Tirol/CEFAT	10	2	4	4	10:10	0	10	L D W D W
6	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	10	1	4	5	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 8

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	9	23	W W D W W
2	America-RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	11	21	W W D W D
3	Maguary PE	10	3	4	3	8:5	3	13	L W D D D
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	1	13	W L D D L
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	-7	10	L L D L W
6	Laguna	10	0	2	8	3:20	-17	2	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Treze	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17	L D L W W
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	17	21	W D D W W
1	Uberlandia	10	5	3	2	12:8	4	18	L D D D W
1	Democrata GV	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17	D W W L L
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	10	21	W W W D L
1	XV de Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	5	17	L D D W W
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19	W W W W L
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	6	19	L W W L D
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	2	15	D L L D W
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17	W D D L L
2	Ipatinga	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15	W L W D D
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	7	17	D W D W D
2	Água Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	8	17	L W W D D
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	5	15	W D L W W
2	Cianorte	10	5	1	4	9:8	1	16	W L D W L
2	Marcílio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	4	16	D L D W W
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	4	15	D D W L D
3	ASA	10	4	4	2	11:7	4	16	D D D W W
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	0	13	D L D W D
3	Vitória ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	4	15	D D W D W
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	5	14	L D D W D
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13	W L D L D
3	Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	5	15	L D W L W
3	Independiente FSJ	10	3	4	3	3:4	-1	13	D L D L D
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13	W W D D D
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13	D D D W W
4	Ivinhema	10	3	4	3	9:12	-3	13	D D L L D
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	2	13	W L L D D
4	América RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	-10	12	W D L W L
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12	L W D L L
4	São Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15	W D L W W
4	Sao Jose Away	10	3	4	3	6:8	-2	13	W W D D W
5	Retrô	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12	W D D W L
5	CSE	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	L D D L L
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense	10	3	3	4	8:9	-1	12	W W W L D
5	Porto BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	-12	10	L L L D L
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	-5	11	W L D L W
5	Nova Iguaçu	10	3	3	4	7:10	-3	12	W L W W D
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	2	15	L W D L L
5	Brasil DE Pelotas Home	10	2	4	4	9:12	-3	10	D L D D L
6	Decisão	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8	L D W L L
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	-15	5	L D D L L
6	Operario Ferroviario	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9	L W L W L
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8	D D D D W
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W
6	CFRJ / Maricá	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L W D L L
6	Guarany de Bagé	10	1	1	8	2:18	-16	4	L L L L W
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	-4	9	D W L W L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	8	22	W W D W D
2	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15:9	6	20	W D W L W
3	Sao Raimundo	10	3	4	3	10:7	3	13	L W D L L
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	-3	10	L L D W W
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	-5	10	L D D W L
6	GAS	10	1	2	7	8:17	-9	5	W L L L D

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	17	26	D W W W W
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15	W D W L L
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14	W D W L L
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	D D L D W
5	Primavera MG	10	3	3	4	10:13	-3	12	L D L W W
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	-17	1	L L L D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)