BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Brasil DE Pelotas
Match Timeline
Sao Jose
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
46'
Tony Lucas
Brasil DE Pelotas
🟥
46'
Lucas Grafite
Sao Jose

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brasil DE Pelotas Win 62%
Draw 7.6%
Sao Jose Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brasil DE Pelotas1.17
Sao Jose0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas
WWDLW
7 GF / 9 GA
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WLDWL
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 6 matches
Sao Jose Sao Jose 6 matches
Brasil DE Pelotas Statistic Sao Jose
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
7 Goals For 3
9 Goals Against 7
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Jose. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Brasil DE Pelotas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Brasil DE Pelotas Analysis

Brasil DE Pelotas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Morbeck (2 goals), Iury Tanque (2 goals), Alan Bald (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sao Jose Analysis

Sao Jose arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 5 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Caique Trindade (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brasil DE Pelotas won 4 times, Sao Jose won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Brasil DE Pelotas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Brasil DE Pelotas wins 4, draws 5, Sao Jose wins 4
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
Last matches: Sao Jose
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
0
4
L
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
H2H: Brasil DE Pelotas vs Sao Jose
17.05.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
25.04.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
13.07.25
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
3
L
09.03.25
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
2
3
L
02.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
18.02.24
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
05.02.23
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
01.05.22
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
1
D
10.02.22
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
19.03.21
H2H
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
W
08.02.20
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
H2H at home: Brasil DE Pelotas
17.05.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
03.05.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
3
L
22.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
2
3
L
02.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
18.02.24
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
10.02.22
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
08.02.20
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
W
Last matches: Sao Jose
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Gama
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Barra
1
1
D
11.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Sao Jose
17.05.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
03.05.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
3
W
22.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
2
3
W
02.02.25
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
10.02.22
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
L
08.02.20
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
1
0
L