NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Brann Stadion
Referee: S. Kringstad
Brann
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
C. Lange
Valerenga
24'
H. Bjordal · Assist: L. Haren
Valerenga
41'
C. Lange · Assist: F. Ambina
Valerenga
45+4'
L. Haren · Assist: H. Bjordal
Valerenga
🔄
46'
T. Pedersen ↔ V. Dragsnes
Brann
🔄
46'
K. Eriksen ↔ J. Sorensen
Brann
🟨
49'
M. Grundetjern
Valerenga
🟨
54'
K. Finnsson
Valerenga
🟥
57'
I. Nasberg
Valerenga
🔄
61'
C. Lange ↔ H. Sjatil
Valerenga
🔄
62'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ M. Westergaard
Valerenga
65'
N. Castro
Brann
🔄
67'
L. Haren ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
71'
N. Wassberg ↔ E. Gudmundsson
Brann
🔄
76'
U. Mathisen ↔ S. Magnusson
Brann
77'
F. Myhre · Assist: D. De Roeve
Brann
🔄
78'
M. Grundetjern ↔ M. Ofkir
Valerenga
🔄
78'
H. Bjordal ↔ K. Tshiembe
Valerenga
🟨
79'
F. Ambina
Valerenga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 85%
Draw 7.5%
Valerenga Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.86
Valerenga1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
43 GF / 33 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
19
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
13
4.57
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 21 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 23 matches
Brann Statistic Valerenga
8 Wins 11
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 8
43 Goals For 43
33 Goals Against 36
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
19 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 5
4.57 Shots On Goal 5.15
12.14 Total Shots 15.85
6.07 Corners 7.23
54.1% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Brann's more proactive style and Valerenga's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. Brann have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valerenga.

Brann Analysis

With 19 points from 14 games and a place of 6, Brann still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 28:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Noah Jean Holm (5 goals), Kristall Máni Ingason (4 goals), Kristian Eriksen (3 goals), with creative support from Ulrik Mathisen (5 assists), Niklas Castro (2 assists), Noah Jean Holm (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Valerenga Analysis

So far, Valerenga have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lucas Haren (5 goals), Filip Thorvaldsen (3 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (5 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (3 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 7 times, Valerenga won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:23 from Brann's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: Brann 2, Valerenga 3
H2H summary: Brann wins 7, draws 0, Valerenga wins 5
Stats
Brann Brann
Valerenga Valerenga
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 24
3 Offsides 4
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Goal 12
3 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 6
9 Goalkeeper Saves 5
639 Total passes 259
533 Passes accurate 171
2.29 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Brann
Formation
Valerenga
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland
Denzel De Roeve
🎯
Denzel De Roeve
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen
Noah Jean Holm
Noah Jean Holm
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Henrik Bjørdal
🎯
Henrik Bjørdal
Ambina Fidèle Brice
🎯
Ambina Fidèle Brice
Carl Lange
Carl Lange
Lucas Haren
🎯
Lucas Haren
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen
Mathias Grundetjern
Mathias Grundetjern
Brann 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Mathias Dyngeland
G
21
Denzel De Roeve
🎯 77'
D
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
D
23
Thore Pedersen
↓ 46'
D
17
Joachim Soltvedt
D
16
Kristian Eriksen
↓ 46'
M
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
↓ 71'
M
8
Felix Horn Myhre
⚽ 77'
M
14
Ulrik Mathisen
↓ 76'
F
29
Noah Jean Holm
F
9
Niklas Castro
⚽ 65'
F
Substitutes
20
Vetle Dragsnes
↑ 46'
D
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
↑ 46'
M
19
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson
↑ 71'
M
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
↑ 76'
F
12
Simen Vidtun Nilsen
G
15
Jonas Torsvik
D
10
Kristall Máni Ingason
F
32
Markus Haaland
M
11
Bård Finne
F
Valerenga 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Oscar Hedvall
G
55
Sebastian Jarl
D
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
37
Ivan Näsberg
🟥 57'
D
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
🟨 54'
D
8
Henrik Bjørdal
⚽ 24' 🎯 45+4' ↓ 78'
M
29
Ambina Fidèle Brice
🎯 41' 🟨 79'
M
10
Carl Lange
⚽ 41' ↓ 61' 🟨 19'
M
77
Lucas Haren
⚽ 45+4' 🎯 24' ↓ 67'
M
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
↓ 62'
F
17
Mathias Grundetjern
↓ 78' 🟨 49'
F
Substitutes
3
Hakon Sjatil
↑ 61'
D
28
Magnus Westergaard
↑ 62'
M
24
Petter Strand
↑ 67'
M
5
Kevin Tshiembe
↑ 78'
D
7
Mohamed Ofkir
↑ 78'
M
30
Alexander Svensen Ordal
G
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
D
19
Promise Meliga
F
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
F
Last matches: Brann
20.08.26
UEF
Brann
PAOK
1
1
D
16.08.26
Eli
Brann
Ham-Kam
3
0
W
11.08.26
UEF
Brann
Apollon Limassol
4
2
W
05.08.26
UEF
Brann
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
3
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
Brann
Universitatea Cluj
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Brann
Universitatea Cluj
2
2
D
18.07.26
Eli
Brann
Molde
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Brann
Start
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Brann
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Brann
Aarhus Fremad
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
24.05.26
Eli
Brann
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Brann
Aalesund
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
29.04.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
5
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Brann
Viking
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Brann
Sandefjord
0
1
L
Last matches: Valerenga
16.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
5
5
D
08.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
H2H: Brann vs Valerenga
26.07.26
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
2
W
03.05.25
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
2
4
W
22.03.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
1
W
27.02.24
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
0
W
08.10.23
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
1
2
W
12.07.23
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
1
W
06.03.23
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
0
0
D
03.03.23
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
1
3
W
31.10.21
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
1
0
L
21.08.21
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
0
0
D
10.07.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
0
D
12.05.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
3
L
13.09.20
H2H
Valerenga
Brann
5
1
L
Last matches: Brann
16.08.26
Eli
Brann
Ham-Kam
3
0
W
05.08.26
UEF
Brann
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Eli
Brann
Rosenborg
3
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
Brann
Universitatea Cluj
3
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Brann
Start
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Brann
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
29.05.26
Eli
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Brann
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Eli
Brann
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
12.04.26
Eli
Brann
Sandefjord
0
1
L
22.03.26
Eli
Brann
Tromso
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Brann
Sotra
2
2
D
19.02.26
UEF
Brann
Bologna
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Brann
ODD Ballklubb
6
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Brann
FC Midtjylland
3
3
D
10.01.26
Fri
Brann
FC Copenhagen
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Brann
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
23.10.25
UEF
Brann
Rangers
3
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Brann
Utrecht
1
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Brann
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brann
26.07.26
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
2
W
22.03.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
1
W
27.02.24
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
1
W
10.07.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
0
D
12.05.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
3
L
Last matches: Valerenga
16.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
5
5
D
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
H2H away: Valerenga
26.07.26
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
2
L
22.03.25
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
2
1
L
27.02.24
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
0
L
22.04.23
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
3
1
L
10.07.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
0
D
12.05.21
H2H
Brann
Valerenga
0
3
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6
Brann Home
17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Brann 2 missing
-
N. Boakye
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Opsahl
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
Valerenga 3 missing
-
M. Sjoeng
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
O. T. Holm
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Questionable Injury
OUT