NORWAY ELITESERIEN
16.08.2026 15:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: U. Aslam
Brann
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Kristall Máni Ingason
Brann
🟨
19'
Blerton Isufi
Ham-Kam
VAR
31'
Blerton Isufi
Ham-Kam
🟥
33'
Martin Gjone
Ham-Kam
🔄
42'
B. Isufi ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
45'
J. Soltvedt
Brann
🟨
62'
Kristall Máni Ingason
Brann
🔄
69'
A. Trondsen ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
69'
H. Udahl ↔ D. Moreira
Ham-Kam
73'
N. Holm · Assist: K. M. Ingason
Brann
🔄
74'
E. Gudmundsson ↔ N. Wassberg
Brann
🔄
78'
N. Holm ↔ B. Finne
Brann
🔄
87'
A. Potur ↔ W. Osnes-Ringen
Ham-Kam
🔄
87'
F. Sjolstad ↔ D. Al Saed
Ham-Kam
🔄
90+1'
K. M. Ingason ↔ K. Kjartansson
Brann
90'
B. Finne · Assist: K. Eriksen
Brann

Brann vs Ham-Kam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 47.4%
Draw 19.6%
Ham-Kam Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.86
Ham-Kam1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
55 GF / 42 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
40 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
23
BTTS Yes
15
22
Over 2.5
16
4.15
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 26 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 25 matches
Brann Statistic Ham-Kam
11 Wins 10
4 Draws 6
11 Losses 9
55 Goals For 40
42 Goals Against 37
2.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
23 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
22 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 3
4.15 Shots On Goal 4.38
10.3 Total Shots 11.13
5.55 Corners 4.13
50.4% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Brann's more proactive style and Ham-Kam's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ham-Kam. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Brann expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. Ham-Kam arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Brann Analysis

So far, Brann have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 33:27 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Noah Jean Holm (5 goals), Kristall Máni Ingason (5 goals), Kristian Eriksen (4 goals), with creative support from Ulrik Mathisen (5 assists), Kristian Eriksen (2 assists), Joachim Soltvedt (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 8 with 21 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 23:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (4 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), with creative support from Martin Gjone (3 assists), Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 7 times, Ham-Kam won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:5 from Brann's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Brann 4, Ham-Kam 3
H2H summary: Brann wins 7, draws 1, Ham-Kam wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8
Brann Home
20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen