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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
Valley Parade

Bradford vs Stevenage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bradford Win 59.5%
Draw 8.1%
Stevenage Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bradford1.43
Stevenage1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bradford Bradford
WWDLW
25 GF / 12 GA
Stevenage Stevenage
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
3.22
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bradford Bradford 15 matches
Stevenage Stevenage 12 matches
Bradford Statistic Stevenage
9 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 3
25 Goals For 14
12 Goals Against 13
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
3.22 Shots On Goal 4.13
10.56 Total Shots 11.13
6.78 Corners 3.88
51% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stevenage having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Stevenage. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bradford arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Stevenage in 13 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Bradford Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 8 games, Bradford bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 8:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Beesley (1 goals), B. Pointon (1 goals), A. Baldwin (1 goals), with creative support from J. Beesley (1 assists), B. Pointon (1 assists), M. Pennington (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Stevenage Analysis

Stevenage sit 13 with 9 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Kemp (3 goals), J. Magennis (2 goals), O. Sanderson (2 goals), with creative support from P. Patterson (2 assists), D. Kemp (1 assists), J. Roberts (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Bradford won 7 times, Stevenage won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Bradford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Bradford 3-4-2-1 / Stevenage 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Bradford wins 7, draws 3, Stevenage wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two