ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
21.04.2026 18:45
Valley Parade
Bradford
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
B. Wiredu · Assist: L. Tolaj
Plymouth
🟨
25'
Alex Mitchell
Plymouth
🔄
29'
B. Galloway ↔ M. Sorinola
Plymouth
🟨
36'
Malachi Boateng
Plymouth
🟨
55'
Owen Dale
Plymouth
🔄
61'
B. Wiredu ↔ C. Watts
Plymouth
🔄
63'
J. Neufville ↔ N. Powell
Bradford
🔄
63'
J. Metcalfe ↔ W. Swan
Bradford
72'
W. Swan
Bradford
🟨
74'
Matthew Sorinola
Plymouth
🔄
80'
O. Dale ↔ X. Amaechi
Plymouth
🟨
84'
Aribim Pepple
Plymouth
🟨
90+4'
George Lapslie
Bradford
🔄
90+1'
S. Humphrys ↔ M. Pennington
Bradford

Bradford vs Plymouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73%
-
Probability Distribution
Bradford Win 47.6%
Draw 8.4%
Plymouth Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bradford1.29
Plymouth1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bradford Bradford
WWDLW
54 GF / 49 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
69 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
24
BTTS Yes
22
23
Over 2.5
25
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bradford Bradford 44 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 44 matches
Bradford Statistic Plymouth
21 Wins 20
9 Draws 6
14 Losses 18
54 Goals For 69
49 Goals Against 61
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
24 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 33
23 Over 2.5 25
8 Over 3.5 17
14 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 10
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.59
12.81 Total Shots 13
5.53 Corners 5.41
50.3% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Plymouth. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bradford expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control.

Bradford Analysis

Bradford arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 72 points after 43 matches. The record of 21 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 15 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Plymouth Analysis

So far, Plymouth have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 66 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 20 wins, 6 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 66:58 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pepple (14 goals), O. Oseni (7 goals), C. Watts (6 goals), with creative support from M. Boateng (8 assists), Bali Mumba (5 assists), A. Pepple (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bradford won 4 times, Plymouth won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Bradford's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Bradford 3-4-2-1 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bradford wins 4, draws 5, Plymouth wins 4

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two