ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Valley Parade
Bradford
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
B. Wiredu · Assist: L. Tolaj
Plymouth
🟨
25'
Alex Mitchell
Plymouth
🔄
29'
B. Galloway ↔ M. Sorinola
Plymouth
🟨
36'
Malachi Boateng
Plymouth
🟨
55'
Owen Dale
Plymouth
🔄
61'
B. Wiredu ↔ C. Watts
Plymouth
🔄
63'
J. Neufville ↔ N. Powell
Bradford
🔄
63'
J. Metcalfe ↔ W. Swan
Bradford
72'
W. Swan
Bradford
🟨
74'
Matthew Sorinola
Plymouth
🔄
80'
O. Dale ↔ X. Amaechi
Plymouth
🟨
84'
Aribim Pepple
Plymouth
🟨
90+4'
George Lapslie
Bradford
🔄
90+1'
S. Humphrys ↔ M. Pennington
Bradford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73%
-
Probability Distribution
Bradford Win 47.6%
Draw 8.4%
Plymouth Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bradford1.29
Plymouth1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bradford Bradford
WWDLW
54 GF / 49 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
69 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
24
BTTS Yes
22
23
Over 2.5
25
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bradford Bradford 44 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 44 matches
Bradford Statistic Plymouth
21 Wins 20
9 Draws 6
14 Losses 18
54 Goals For 69
49 Goals Against 61
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
24 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 33
23 Over 2.5 25
8 Over 3.5 17
14 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 10
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.59
12.81 Total Shots 13
5.53 Corners 5.41
50.3% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Plymouth. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bradford expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control.

Bradford Analysis

Bradford arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 72 points after 43 matches. The record of 21 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 15 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Plymouth Analysis

So far, Plymouth have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 66 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 20 wins, 6 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 66:58 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pepple (14 goals), O. Oseni (7 goals), C. Watts (6 goals), with creative support from M. Boateng (8 assists), Bali Mumba (5 assists), A. Pepple (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bradford won 4 times, Plymouth won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Bradford's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Bradford 3-4-2-1 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bradford wins 4, draws 5, Plymouth wins 4
Stats
Bradford Bradford
Plymouth Plymouth
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
364 Total passes 218
224 Passes accurate 100
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bradford
Formation
Plymouth
S. Walker
S. Walker
A. Baldwin
A. Baldwin
J. Wright
J. Wright
C. Tilt
C. Tilt
J. Neufville
J. Neufville
M. Power
M. Power
J. Metcalfe
J. Metcalfe
I. Touray
I. Touray
G. Lapslie
G. Lapslie
K. Jackson
K. Jackson
S. Humphrys
S. Humphrys
C. Hazard
C. Hazard
W. Harding
W. Harding
M. Ross
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
B. Galloway
B. Galloway
R. Curtis
R. Curtis
M. Boateng
M. Boateng
B. Wiredu
B. Wiredu
O. Dale
O. Dale
L. Tolaj
🎯
L. Tolaj
A. Pepple
A. Pepple
Bradford 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
S. Walker
G
15
A. Baldwin
D
4
J. Wright
D
26
C. Tilt
D
7
J. Neufville
↓ 63'
M
6
M. Power
M
21
J. Metcalfe
↓ 63'
3
I. Touray
M
32
G. Lapslie
🟨 90+4'
F
19
K. Jackson
F
11
S. Humphrys
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Hilton
G
22
N. Powell
↑ 63'
M
8
L. Evans
M
28
M. Pennington
↑ 90+1'
D
24
W. Swan
⚽ 72' ↑ 63'
F
33
H. Ashby
D
27
E. Wheatley
F
Plymouth 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. Hazard
G
45
W. Harding
D
2
M. Ross
D
15
A. Mitchell
🟨 25'
D
22
B. Galloway
↓ 29'
D
28
R. Curtis
M
19
M. Boateng
🟨 36'
M
4
B. Wiredu
⚽ 8' ↓ 61'
M
35
O. Dale
↓ 80' 🟨 55'
M
9
L. Tolaj
🎯 8'
F
27
A. Pepple
🟨 84'
F
Substitutes
21
L. Ashby-Hammond
G
5
J. Pleguezuelo
D
17
C. Watts
↑ 61'
M
7
J. Paterson
F
10
X. Amaechi
↑ 80'
F
29
M. Sorinola
↑ 29' 🟨 74'
D
18
O. Oseni
Last matches: Bradford
01.08.26
Fri
Bradford
Salford City
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Preston
3
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Gmunden
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Accrington ST
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Bradford
FC Halifax Town
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bradford
United of Manchester
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Exeter City
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Stevenage
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Wycombe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Northampton
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Reading
1
2
L
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
H2H: Bradford vs Plymouth
21.04.26
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
0
1
W
29.02.20
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
2
1
W
23.11.19
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
2
1
L
16.02.19
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
0
D
08.12.18
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
3
3
D
24.02.18
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
1
0
L
02.12.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
3
1
W
11.11.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
1
L
12.03.13
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
0
0
D
20.11.12
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
0
W
31.03.12
H2H
Plymouth
Bradford
1
0
L
10.12.11
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
Last matches: Bradford
29.07.26
Fri
Bradford
Preston
3
2
W
14.05.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Bolton
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Bradford
Northampton
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Bradford
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
24.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Rotherham
1
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Stockport County
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Bradford
Peterborough
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Doncaster
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Bradford
Cardiff
1
2
L
29.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Port Vale
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Wigan
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Bradford
Reading
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Bradford
Exeter City
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Bradford
Burton Albion
1
2
L
28.10.25
Lea
Bradford
Lincoln
0
0
D
18.10.25
Lea
Bradford
Barnsley
2
2
D
27.09.25
Lea
Bradford
Blackpool
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bradford
21.04.26
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
29.02.20
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
2
1
W
16.02.19
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
0
D
02.12.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
3
1
W
11.11.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
1
L
20.11.12
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
0
W
10.12.11
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Blackpool
4
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Peterborough
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
5
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wycombe
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
1
3
L
H2H away: Plymouth
21.04.26
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D
29.02.20
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
2
1
L
16.02.19
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
0
D
02.12.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
3
1
L
11.11.17
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
0
1
W
20.11.12
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
0
L
10.12.11
H2H
Bradford
Plymouth
1
1
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two