Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
67.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.3%
|
- |
Bournemouth
Leeds
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bournemouth
34 matches
Leeds
37 matches
| Bournemouth | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 11 |
| 16 | Draws | 14 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 52 | Goals For | 51 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.32 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 13.41 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leeds. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bournemouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leeds in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leeds having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 33 matches, Bournemouth have collected 48 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 48:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Semenyo (15 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (10 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), M. Senesi (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Cook, J. Kluivert, J. Soler unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 39 points from 33 games and a place of 15, Leeds still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 37:48, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Calvert-Lewin (11 goals), Noah Okafor (7 goals), L. Nmecha (6 goals), with creative support from Brenden Aaronson (5 assists), Anton Stach (3 assists), Ilia Gruev (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. James, A. Stach unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 2 times, Leeds won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Bournemouth's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.
Bournemouth
7
3
5
5
5
2
Lineups
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Fulham
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Burnley
Bournemouth
Brentford
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Bournemouth
West Ham
Bournemouth
Everton
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Wolves
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Brighton
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Tottenham
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Wolves
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Norwich
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Arsenal
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Fulham
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Brentford
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Burnley
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Everton
Bournemouth
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Brighton
Bournemouth
Wolves
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Tottenham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Derby
Leeds
Newcastle
Leeds
Liverpool
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Wolves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Home
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|