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--.--.---- --:--
Bournemouth
FT
4 - 1
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
R. Rees-Dottin ↔ B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
⚽
22'
M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
⚽
25'
B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
🟨
36'
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
🟨
36'
J. Fujita
FC St. Pauli
⚽
37'
H. William
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
D. Petrovic ↔ W. Dennis
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
A. Smith ↔ A. Toth
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
A. Truffert ↔ A. Adli
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
E. Unal ↔ B. Diakite
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
R. Christie ↔ J. Soler
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
H. William ↔ J. Araujo
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
J. Hill ↔ C. Stevens
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
Evanilson ↔ L. Cook
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
A. Scott ↔ J. Kluivert
Bournemouth
🔄
46'
M. Tavernier ↔ D. Jebbison
Bournemouth
⚽
47'
D. Jebbison
Bournemouth
⚽
52'
B. Diakite
Bournemouth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 36.1%
Draw 14.7%
FC St. Pauli Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth0.4
FC St. Pauli1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
0 GF / 0 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
15 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 5 matches
Bournemouth Statistic FC St. Pauli
0 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
0 Goals For 15
0 Goals Against 5
0 Avg Goals Scored 3
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 4
0 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 1 times, FC St. Pauli won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Bournemouth's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 1, draws 0, FC St. Pauli wins 0

Lineups

FC St. Pauli
Formation
Bournemouth
B. A. Voll
B. A. Voll
D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
B. Hrgota
B. Hrgota
A. Pyrka
A. Pyrka
T. Ando
T. Ando
J. Fujita
J. Fujita
M. Kaars
⚽
M. Kaars
M. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen
L. Oppie
L. Oppie
R. Jones
R. Jones
D. Petrovic
↓
D. Petrovic
A. Truffert
↓
A. Truffert
J. Hill
↓
J. Hill
A. Scott
↓
A. Scott
Evanilson
↓
Evanilson
R. Christie
↓
R. Christie
A. Smith
↓
A. Smith
M. Tavernier
↓
M. Tavernier
E. Unal
↓
E. Unal
R. Rees-Dottin
↓
R. Rees-Dottin
H. William
⚽ ↓
H. William
FC St. Pauli 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. A. Voll
4
D. Nemeth
6
M. Mathisen
10
B. Hrgota
11
A. Pyrka
15
T. Ando
16
J. Fujita
🟨 36'
19
M. Kaars
⚽ 22'
20
M. Rasmussen
23
L. Oppie
26
R. Jones
Substitutes
30
S. Spari
I. Dapo
14
E. Ahlstrand
17
S. Banks
18
T. Hara
21
L. Ritzka
34
J. Robatsch
R. St. John
H. Sabah
Bournemouth 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Petrovic
↓ 46'
3
A. Truffert
↓ 46'
5
J. Hill
↓ 46'
8
A. Scott
↓ 46'
9
Evanilson
↓ 46'
10
R. Christie
↓ 46'
15
A. Smith
↓ 46'
16
M. Tavernier
↓ 46'
26
E. Unal
↓ 46'
50
R. Rees-Dottin
↓ 19'
56
H. William
⚽ 37' ↓ 46'
Substitutes
11
B. Gannon-Doak
⚽ 25' ↑ 19'
12
W. Dennis
↑ 46'
27
A. Toth
↑ 46'
21
A. Adli
↑ 46'
18
B. Diakite
⚽ 52' ↑ 46'
6
J. Soler
↑ 46'
22
J. Araujo
↑ 46'
53
C. Stevens
↑ 46'
4
L. Cook
↑ 46'
19
J. Kluivert
↑ 46'
D. Jebbison
⚽ 47' ↑ 46'
Last matches: Bournemouth
29.08.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
1
1
D
23.08.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
14.08.26
2.
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
09.08.26
2.
FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
4
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
3
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
6
2
W
16.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
03.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
25.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0
5
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
H2H: Bournemouth vs FC St. Pauli
24.07.26
H2H
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
29.08.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
1
1
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
3
2
W
03.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
3
1
W
21.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
H2H at home: Bournemouth
24.07.26
H2H
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
14.08.26
2.
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
4
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
3
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
6
2
W
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
25.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
14.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
21.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
06.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
29.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
3
L
09.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0
1
L
19.09.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
0
2
L
H2H away: FC St. Pauli
24.07.26
H2H
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
L