ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 14:00
Vitality Stadium
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Brentford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
K. Schade · Assist: Y. Yarmolyuk
Brentford
38'
J. Kluivert
Bournemouth
🟨
45+4'
Marcus Tavernier
Bournemouth
🟨
45+3'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
52'
M. Tavernier · Assist: Evanilson
Bournemouth
56'
K. Schade
Brentford
🔄
60'
K. Lewis-Potter ↔ M. Diouf
Brentford
🔄
60'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↔ M. Damsgaard
Brentford
🔄
60'
J. Anthony ↔ D. Ouattara
Brentford
🟨
63'
James Hill
Bournemouth
🔄
66'
J. Kluivert ↔ R. Christie
Bournemouth
🔄
71'
A. Hickey ↔ M. Kayode
Brentford
🔄
82'
T. Adams ↔ L. Cook
Bournemouth
🔄
82'
Rayan ↔ B. Gannon-Doak
Bournemouth
🔄
83'
M. Tavernier ↔ D. Brooks
Bournemouth
🟨
85'
Lewis Cook
Bournemouth
🟨
87'
Adam Smith
Bournemouth
🟨
89'
David Brooks
Bournemouth
🔄
90+1'
Evanilson ↔ A. Rodriguez
Bournemouth

Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds 2.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.50
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
2.48
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.64
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 61.8%
Draw 4.1%
Brentford Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth2.27
Brentford2.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
26 GF / 13 GA
Brentford Brentford
WLDWL
16 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
3.25
Average Goals Scored
3.2
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
8
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 matches
Brentford Brentford 5 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Brentford
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
26 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 4
3.25 Avg Goals Scored 3.2
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
8 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
4.67 Shots On Goal 5
13 Total Shots 20
5.33 Corners 5.67
45% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 2 times, Brentford won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Bournemouth's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Brentford 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bournemouth 4, Brentford 5
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 2, draws 3, Brentford wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship