BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hristo Botev Stadium
Referee: G. Stoyanov
Botev Vratsa
Match Timeline
Montana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
J. Gallegos ↔ V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
40'
K. Iliev ↔ A. Tungarov
Montana
🟨
45+3'
Martin Petkov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
55'
I. Kokonov ↔ T. Azevedo
Montana
🟨
61'
Ivaylo Markov
Montana
🟨
66'
Jorginho Soares
Montana
🟨
67'
Ivan Goranov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
69'
M. Ntelo ↔ D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
69'
I. Yurukov ↔ K. Hadji
Botev Vratsa
70'
D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
77'
A. Todorov ↔ Beji
Montana
🟨
89'
Umaro Baldé
Montana
🟨
90'
Radoslav Tsonev
Botev Vratsa
🔄
90+3'
↔ D. Jovicic
Botev Vratsa
🔄
90+2'
M. Petkov ↔ D. Polonskyi
Botev Vratsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Vratsa Win 89.1%
Draw 0%
Montana Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Vratsa1.12
Montana0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Montana Montana
WLDWL
21 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.62
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
13
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
14
2
Shots on Goal
2.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 34 matches
Montana Montana 34 matches
Botev Vratsa Statistic Montana
10 Wins 4
14 Draws 11
10 Losses 19
30 Goals For 21
31 Goals Against 50
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.62
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
13 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 9
15 Failed To Score 16
2 Shots On Goal 2.1
5.9 Total Shots 6.87
2.42 Corners 3.1
30.1% Ball Possession 34.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Botev Vratsa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 44 points compared to Montana in 16 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botev Vratsa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Montana in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montana having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Montana.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa sit 9 with 44 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 30:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Petkov (6 goals), M. Ntelo (5 goals), Daniel Genov (3 goals), with creative support from José Gallegos (4 assists), V. Naydenov (4 assists), R. Tsonev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Montana Analysis

Montana sit 16 with 23 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 21:50, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through B. Dimitrov (9 goals), P. Ejike (5 goals), I. Kokonov (2 goals), with creative support from B. Dimitrov (2 assists), Solomon James (2 assists), I. Kokonov (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa won 7 times, Montana won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Botev Vratsa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 / Montana 3-4-3
H2H summary: Botev Vratsa wins 7, draws 4, Montana wins 1
Stats
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
Montana Montana
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Goal 0
2 Shots off Goal 1
0 Blocked Shots 1
2 Shots insidebox 0
3 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
516 Total passes 407
449 Passes accurate 331
0.39 expected_goals 0.00
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
Formation
Montana
M. Orlinov
M. Orlinov
T. Ouorou
T. Ouorou
M. Stoev
M. Stoev
I. Goranov
I. Goranov
S. Sanyang
S. Sanyang
I. Yurukov
I. Yurukov
A. Stoyanov
A. Stoyanov
M. Petkov
M. Petkov
R. Tsonev
R. Tsonev
J. Gallegos
J. Gallegos
M. Ntelo
M. Ntelo
V. Simeonov
V. Simeonov
J. Soares
J. Soares
I. Markov
I. Markov
K. Iliev
K. Iliev
D. Carmona Sierra
D. Carmona Sierra
A. Tsingaras
A. Tsingaras
A. Todorov
A. Todorov
D. Burov
D. Burov
U. Balde
U. Balde
B. Dimitrov
B. Dimitrov
I. Kokonov
I. Kokonov
Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
94
M. Orlinov
G
6
T. Ouorou
D
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
🟨 67'
D
3
S. Sanyang
D
12
I. Yurukov
↓ 69'
M
8
A. Stoyanov
M
79
M. Petkov
↓ 90+2' 🟨 45+3'
M
21
R. Tsonev
🟨 90'
M
17
J. Gallegos
↓ 7'
M
20
M. Ntelo
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Vasilev
G
9
D. Genov
⚽ 70' ↑ 69'
F
19
Y. Bornosuzov
F
24
M. Smolenski
M
55
D. Jovicic
↑ 90+3'
D
81
K. Hadji
↑ 69'
M
88
L. Boyanov
D
91
D. Polonskyi
↑ 90+2'
M
97
V. Naydenov
↑ 7'
M
Montana 3-4-3
Starting XI
30
V. Simeonov
G
13
J. Soares
🟨 66'
D
5
I. Markov
18
K. Iliev
↓ 40'
16
D. Carmona Sierra
24
A. Tsingaras
M
10
A. Todorov
↓ 77'
M
14
D. Burov
M
20
U. Balde
🟨 89'
F
7
B. Dimitrov
F
17
I. Kokonov
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Rosa
G
23
A. Tungarov
↑ 40'
D
19
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
F
22
Beji
↑ 77'
15
C. Acheampong
D
8
P. Atanasov
M
26
R. Slavchev
F
27
T. Azevedo
↑ 55'
M
11
Vitinho
M
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
19.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Pleven
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
Last matches: Montana
18.07.26
Fri
Montana
Spartak Pleven
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montana
Slavia Sofia
2
7
L
01.07.26
Fri
Montana
CSKA Sofia II
1
1
D
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
18.05.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
09.05.26
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
H2H: Botev Vratsa vs Montana
14.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
09.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
08.08.25
H2H
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
25.01.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
19.01.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
3
L
18.01.23
H2H
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
W
21.05.21
H2H
Montana
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
10.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
09.03.21
H2H
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
W
25.09.20
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
0
W
19.05.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
1
W
19.11.17
H2H
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
W
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
19.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Pleven
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Marek
2
2
D
09.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
04.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
24.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
03.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
H2H at home: Botev Vratsa
14.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
09.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
25.01.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
19.01.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
3
L
10.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
25.09.20
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
0
W
19.05.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
1
W
Last matches: Montana
11.07.26
Fri
Montana
Slavia Sofia
2
7
L
01.07.26
Fri
Montana
CSKA Sofia II
1
1
D
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
09.12.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.11.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Montana
Beroe
1
1
D
28.09.25
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
12.09.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
15.08.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.08.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
20.07.25
Fir
Montana
Levski Sofia
0
5
L
H2H away: Montana
14.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
L
09.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
25.01.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
1
D
13.07.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
19.01.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
3
W
10.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
L
25.09.20
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
0
L
19.05.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Montana
2
1
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)