BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Hristo Botev
Referee: T. Kirov
Botev Plovdiv
Match Timeline
Arda Kardzhali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Edson Silva
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
46'
E. Martinho da Silva ↔ Lucas Araujo
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
54'
Carlos Algarra López
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
56'
Serkan Yusein
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
61'
N. Iliev ↔ C. Meotti
Botev Plovdiv
61'
C. Huseynov
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
62'
W. Samake ↔ A. Vutov
Arda Kardzhali
68'
C. Meotti · Assist: Mascote
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
70'
A. Shinyashiki ↔ B. Karagaren
Arda Kardzhali
70'
C. Huseynov · Assist: D. Velkovski
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
80'
W. Chimezie ↔ I. Dorgu
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
85'
P. Krachunov ↔ E. Viyachki
Arda Kardzhali
🔄
85'
S. Yusein ↔ M. Paskalev
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
89'
Félix Eboa Eboa
Arda Kardzhali
🟨
90+4'
Antoine Conte
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
90'
I. Videv ↔ Z. Tindano
Botev Plovdiv

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Plovdiv Win 53.2%
Draw 13.8%
Arda Kardzhali Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Plovdiv1.08
Arda Kardzhali1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WWDLW
38 GF / 41 GA
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WLDWL
39 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
16
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
12
3.47
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 32 matches
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 39 matches
Botev Plovdiv Statistic Arda Kardzhali
11 Wins 14
7 Draws 11
14 Losses 14
38 Goals For 39
41 Goals Against 36
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
16 BTTS Yes 10
24 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 17
11 Failed To Score 19
3.47 Shots On Goal 3
9.7 Total Shots 7.56
3.83 Corners 2.81
38.8% Ball Possession 36.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Arda Kardzhali arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Arda Kardzhali. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Botev Plovdiv have collected 43 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 42:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Okoflex (8 goals), Mascote (8 goals), N. Minkov (4 goals), with creative support from A. Okoflex (6 assists), N. Minkov (6 assists), Todor Nedelev (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Arda Kardzhali Analysis

Arda Kardzhali sit 7 with 45 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 33:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Karagaren (7 goals), A. Vutov (4 goals), Dimitar Velkovski (3 goals), with creative support from Svetoslav Kovachev (4 assists), L. Kotev (4 assists), B. Karagaren (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 3 times, Arda Kardzhali won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Botev Plovdiv's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Plovdiv wins 3, draws 2, Arda Kardzhali wins 10

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
Formation
Arda Kardzhali
D. Naumov
D. Naumov
A. Conte
A. Conte
S. Petrov
S. Petrov
I. Videv
I. Videv
B. Hein
B. Hein
C. Algarra
C. Algarra
E. Martinho da Silva
E. Martinho da Silva
W. Chimezie
W. Chimezie
N. Iliev
N. Iliev
S. Kalu
S. Kalu
Mascote
🎯
Mascote
A. Gospodinov
A. Gospodinov
F. Eboa
F. Eboa
P. Krachunov
P. Krachunov
D. Idowu
D. Idowu
D. Velkovski
🎯
D. Velkovski
C. Huseynov
⚽ 2
C. Huseynov
L. Kotev
L. Kotev
A. Kabov
A. Kabov
S. Yusein
S. Yusein
A. Shinyashiki
A. Shinyashiki
W. Samake
W. Samake
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
D. Naumov
G
19
A. Conte
🟨 90+4'
D
87
S. Petrov
D
42
I. Videv
↓ 90'
27
B. Hein
D
14
C. Algarra
🟨 54'
M
45
E. Martinho da Silva
↓ 46'
88
W. Chimezie
↓ 80'
F
7
N. Iliev
↓ 61'
M
90
S. Kalu
M
30
Mascote
🎯 68'
F
Substitutes
21
N. Prandzhev
2
G. Noga
D
6
G. Zlatanov
13
S. Tsonov
M
22
E. Kwateng
D
23
I. Dorgu
↑ 80'
F
41
Z. Tindano
↑ 90'
D
44
C. Meotti
⚽ 68' ↑ 61'
F
77
Lucas Araujo
↑ 46'
M
Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gospodinov
G
93
F. Eboa
🟨 89'
D
6
P. Krachunov
↓ 85'
D
4
D. Idowu
M
35
D. Velkovski
🎯 70'
D
18
C. Huseynov
⚽ 61' ⚽ 70'
D
80
L. Kotev
M
8
A. Kabov
M
20
S. Yusein
↓ 85' 🟨 56'
M
11
A. Shinyashiki
↓ 70'
M
30
W. Samake
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
I. Nedelchev
G
23
E. Viyachki
↑ 85'
D
24
M. Paskalev
↑ 85'
D
26
B. Akandzha
M
39
A. Vutov
↑ 62'
M
99
B. Karagaren
↑ 70'
M
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
21.07.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
24.07.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
0
W
08.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
16.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
H2H: Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
26.06.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
12.05.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
26.04.26
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
W
02.12.25
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
04.08.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
5
L
09.03.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
23.09.24
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
L
27.05.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
11.05.24
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
01.12.23
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
W
04.08.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
06.06.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
3
L
23.05.23
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
12.11.22
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
21.07.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
23.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Sevlievo
4
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Drenica Skënderaj
1
0
W
H2H at home: Botev Plovdiv
26.06.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
12.05.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
04.08.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
5
L
09.03.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
27.05.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
04.08.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
06.06.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
3
L
23.07.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
18.07.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
08.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Wieczysta Kraków
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Kudrivka
1
1
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
28.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
3
2
W
24.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
1
1
D
05.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
H2H away: Arda Kardzhali
26.06.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
L
12.05.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
W
04.08.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
5
W
09.03.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
27.05.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
W
04.08.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
W
06.06.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
3
W
23.07.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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