BRAZIL SERIE C
26.09.2026 20:00

Botafogo PB vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.4%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 46.5%
Draw 12.6%
Maringá Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.37
Maringá1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
31 GF / 24 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
35 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 23 matches
Maringá Maringá 22 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Maringá
11 Wins 10
3 Draws 6
9 Losses 6
31 Goals For 35
24 Goals Against 31
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maringá. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Placed 1 with 33 points from 19 outings, Botafogo PB continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 28:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Maringá Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 19 games, Maringá bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation