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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
04.10.2025 13:30
Signal Iduna Park
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
RB Leipzig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
7'
C. Baumgartner · Assist: A. Ouedraogo
RB Leipzig
🟨
21'
Christoph Baumgartner
RB Leipzig
⚽
23'
Y. Couto · Assist: S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
54'
Ridle Baku
RB Leipzig
🔄
60'
Y. Couto ↔ J. Ryerson
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
67'
A. Ouedraogo ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
67'
A. Nusa ↔ Y. Diomande
RB Leipzig
🔄
70'
K. Adeyemi ↔ J. Brandt
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
70'
F. Nmecha ↔ J. Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
81'
M. Beier ↔ P. Gross
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
81'
S. Guirassy ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
86'
Ezechiel Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
89'
J. Bakayoko ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
🔄
90+3'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ A. Maksimovic
RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 0%
Draw 0%
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund2.19
RB Leipzig1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
19 GF / 8 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
2
6
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic RB Leipzig
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
19 Goals For 7
8 Goals Against 7
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
3 BTTS Yes 1
6 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 4.6
11.57 Total Shots 17.6
4.29 Corners 6.8
56.6% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 6 times, RB Leipzig won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:29 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 6, draws 2, RB Leipzig wins 7

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation