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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
24.10.2026 16:30
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
1.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.35 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 61%
Draw 7.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
24 GF / 16 GA
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
WLDWL
42 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.8
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
12
5.2
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 15 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 15 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic Eintracht Frankfurt
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
24 Goals For 42
16 Goals Against 28
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.8
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
8 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
5.2 Shots On Goal 5.83
14.5 Total Shots 14.67
6.3 Corners 5.33
52.4% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Eintracht Frankfurt's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Eintracht Frankfurt. Borussia Dortmund arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to Eintracht Frankfurt in 8 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Borussia Dortmund come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Borussia Dortmund expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Eintracht Frankfurt in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eintracht Frankfurt having the stronger overall control.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

Borussia Dortmund come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 11:4 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on S. Guirassy (2 goals), Fábio Silva (2 goals), F. Nmecha (2 goals), with creative support from S. Guirassy (2 assists), Fábio Silva (1 assists), M. Beier (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Ebnoutalib (5 goals), J. Burkardt (3 goals), C. Uzun (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Ebnoutalib (1 assists), J. Burkardt (1 assists), R. Koch (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:22 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / Eintracht Frankfurt 4-4-2
Missing players: Borussia Dortmund 4, Eintracht Frankfurt 4
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 8, draws 5, Eintracht Frankfurt wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 22:5 17 14
W D W W D
2 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
D D W W W
3 6 4 1 1 15:6 9 13
L W D W W
4 6 4 1 1 16:9 7 13
W W W D W
5 6 3 1 2 14:10 4 10
W L W L W
6 6 3 1 2 12:11 1 10
W L D L W
7 6 3 0 3 16:11 5 9
L W L W L
8 6 2 3 1 12:12 0 9
D D W D W
9 6 3 0 3 6:15 -9 9
W W W L L
10 6 2 2 2 16:12 4 8
L D L D W
11 6 2 2 2 10:16 -6 8
W L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L W L D L
13 6 2 0 4 8:10 -2 6
L W L L W
14 6 2 0 4 11:14 -3 6
W L L W L
15 6 1 2 3 4:7 -3 5
L L D W D
16 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
D L W L L
17 6 1 2 3 5:17 -12 5
D W L L L
18 6 0 0 6 8:20 -12 0
L L L L L
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Europa League league stage
Qualifying
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Relegation