Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bolton
Luton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bolton
47 matches
Luton
47 matches
| Bolton | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 21 |
| 18 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 70 | Goals For | 71 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 15.81 | Total Shots | 12.85 |
| 6.06 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Luton look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Luton. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Bolton come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 75 points from 45 matches. The record of 19 wins, 18 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 68:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Burstow (12 goals), S. Dalby (10 goals), A. Cozier-Duberry (8 goals), with creative support from A. Cozier-Duberry (9 assists), M. Burstow (5 assists), S. Dalby (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 13 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Luton are currently 7 in the standings with 71 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 20 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 65:54 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Clark (11 goals), G. Kodua (9 goals), Kasey Palmer (8 goals), with creative support from L. Walsh (6 assists), G. Saville (5 assists), E. Lawrence (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Bolton won 0 times, Luton won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Bolton's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Bolton
12
5
6
6
6
1
Lineups
Bolton
Stockport County
Bolton
Bradford
Bolton
Bradford
Bolton
Bradford
Bolton
Huddersfield
Bolton
Stevenage
Bolton
Cardiff
Bolton
Stockport County
Bolton
Plymouth
Bolton
Port Vale
Bolton
Doncaster
Bolton
Rotherham
Bolton
Wycombe
Bolton
Exeter City
Bolton
Blackpool
Bolton
Reading
Bolton
Lincoln
Bolton
Barnsley
Bolton
AFC Wimbledon
Bolton
Burton Albion
Luton
Barnsley
Luton
Rotherham
Luton
Mansfield Town
Luton
Northampton
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Peterborough
Luton
Stockport County
Luton
Exeter City
Luton
Wycombe
Luton
Doncaster
Luton
Reading
Luton
Port Vale
Luton
Burton Albion
Luton
Wigan
Luton
Cardiff
Luton
Bradford
Luton
Blackpool
Luton
Huddersfield
Luton
Plymouth
Luton
Lincoln
Bolton
Stockport County
Bolton
Bradford
Bolton
Huddersfield
Bolton
Stevenage
Bolton
Stockport County
Bolton
Doncaster
Bolton
Wycombe
Bolton
Blackpool
Bolton
Barnsley
Bolton
Burton Albion
Bolton
Leyton Orient
Bolton
Northampton
Bolton
Mansfield Town
Bolton
Rotherham
Bolton
Exeter City
Bolton
Bradford
Bolton
Port Vale
Bolton
Huddersfield
Bolton
Cardiff
Bolton
Peterborough
Luton
Rotherham
Luton
Mansfield Town
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Wycombe
Luton
Doncaster
Luton
Port Vale
Luton
Wigan
Luton
Cardiff
Luton
Huddersfield
Luton
Plymouth
Luton
Exeter City
Luton
Reading
Luton
Leyton Orient
Luton
Fleetwood Town
Luton
Barnsley
Luton
Stockport County
Luton
Northampton
Luton
Stevenage
Luton
Blackpool
Luton
Lincoln
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Bolton
Home
|
46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|