ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: K. Bonacina
Bologna
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
F. Dimarco
Inter
25'
F. Bernardeschi
Bologna
🟨
41'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
42'
T. Pobega
Bologna
48'
P. Zielinski
Bologna
🔄
54'
N. Barella ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
54'
F. Dimarco ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🔄
54'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
64'
F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
66'
R. Freuler ↔ N. Moro
Bologna
🔄
66'
L. De Silvestri ↔ N. Zortea
Bologna
🔄
66'
T. Pobega ↔ J. Odgaard
Bologna
🔄
74'
P. Sucic ↔ M. Cocchi
Inter
🟨
77'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
81'
E. Fauske Helland ↔ T. Heggem
Bologna
🔄
81'
S. de Vrij ↔ L. Topalovic
Inter
86'
A. Diouf · Assist: L. Topalovic
Inter
🔄
88'
F. Bernardeschi ↔ T. Dallinga
Bologna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 14.6%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 85.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.15
Inter1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
72 GF / 66 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
116 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
27
BTTS Yes
26
25
Over 2.5
30
4.47
Shots on Goal
5.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 55 matches
Inter Inter 53 matches
Bologna Statistic Inter
24 Wins 36
13 Draws 7
18 Losses 10
72 Goals For 116
66 Goals Against 49
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
27 BTTS Yes 26
40 Over 1.5 45
25 Over 2.5 30
14 Over 3.5 18
16 Clean Sheets 24
15 Failed To Score 4
4.47 Shots On Goal 5.81
14.16 Total Shots 16.94
5.31 Corners 6.11
54.7% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bologna expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Inter in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Inter. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 86 points while Bologna sit 8 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Bologna Analysis

So far, Bologna have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 55 points from 37 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 46:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Orsolini (10 goals), S. Castro (7 goals), J. Odgaard (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Cambiaghi (4 assists), E. Holm (4 assists), Juan Miranda (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Inter Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 86 points from 37 games, Inter bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 27 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a 86:32 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on L. Martinez (17 goals), M. Thuram (13 goals), H. Calhanoglu (9 goals), with creative support from F. Dimarco (17 assists), N. Barella (7 assists), L. Martinez (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 5 times, Inter won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:31 from Bologna's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bologna 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
Missing players: Bologna 5, Inter 4
H2H summary: Bologna wins 5, draws 4, Inter wins 6
Stats
Bologna Bologna
Inter Inter
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
385 Total passes 480
346 Passes accurate 423
1.40 expected_goals 1.78
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bologna
Formation
Inter
L. Skorupski
L. Skorupski
L. De Silvestri
L. De Silvestri
E. Fauske Helland
E. Fauske Helland
J. Lucumi
J. Lucumi
J. Miranda
J. Miranda
L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
R. Freuler
T. Pobega
T. Pobega
F. Bernardeschi
F. Bernardeschi
S. Castro
S. Castro
J. Rowe
J. Rowe
J. Martinez
J. Martinez
Y. Bisseck
Y. Bisseck
S. de Vrij
S. de Vrij
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
A. Diouf
A. Diouf
N. Barella
N. Barella
P. Sucic
P. Sucic
P. Zielinski
P. Zielinski
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
Bologna 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
L. Skorupski
G
29
L. De Silvestri
↓ 66'
D
5
E. Fauske Helland
↓ 81'
D
26
J. Lucumi
D
33
J. Miranda
D
19
L. Ferguson
M
8
R. Freuler
↓ 66'
M
4
T. Pobega
⚽ 42' ↓ 66'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
⚽ 25' ↓ 88'
F
9
S. Castro
F
11
J. Rowe
F
Substitutes
13
F. Ravaglia
G
25
M. Pessina
G
6
N. Moro
↑ 66'
M
14
T. Heggem
↑ 81'
D
20
N. Zortea
↑ 66'
D
24
T. Dallinga
↑ 88'
F
30
B. Dominguez
F
22
C. Lykogiannis
D
21
J. Odgaard
↑ 66'
F
17
Joao Mario
D
23
S. Sohm
M
Inter 3-5-2
Starting XI
13
J. Martinez
G
31
Y. Bisseck
D
6
S. de Vrij
↓ 81'
D
30
Carlos Augusto
D
17
A. Diouf
⚽ 86'
M
23
N. Barella
↓ 54'
M
8
P. Sucic
↓ 74'
M
7
P. Zielinski
⚽ 48'
M
32
F. Dimarco
⚽ 22' ↓ 54'
M
94
F. Esposito
⚽ 64'
F
10
L. Martinez
↓ 54' 🟨 41'
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Sommer
G
12
R. Di Gennaro
G
36
M. Darmian
D
22
H. Mkhitaryan
↑ 54' 🟨 77'
M
95
A. Bastoni
D
57
I. Kaczmarski
M
58
L. Topalovic
🎯 86' ↑ 81'
M
43
M. Cocchi
↑ 74'
D
48
M. Mosconi
F
15
F. Acerbi
D
11
Luis Henrique
↑ 54'
F
14
A. Bonny
↑ 54'
F
Last matches: Bologna
08.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Pisa
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Cambuur
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Iraklis 1908
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Napoli
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Juventus
0
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
0
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Cremonese
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
4
3
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
02.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Pisa
1
0
W
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
H2H: Bologna vs Inter
23.05.26
H2H
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
04.01.26
H2H
Inter
Bologna
3
1
L
19.12.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
W
15.01.25
H2H
Inter
Bologna
2
2
D
09.03.24
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
L
20.12.23
H2H
Inter
Bologna
1
2
W
07.10.23
H2H
Inter
Bologna
2
2
D
26.02.23
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
W
09.11.22
H2H
Inter
Bologna
6
1
L
27.04.22
H2H
Bologna
Inter
2
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Inter
Bologna
6
1
L
03.04.21
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
L
05.12.20
H2H
Inter
Bologna
3
1
L
05.07.20
H2H
Inter
Bologna
1
2
W
Last matches: Bologna
08.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Pisa
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Cambuur
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Iraklis 1908
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Bologna
Brann
1
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Udinese
1
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Bologna
Lazio
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Parma
0
1
L
03.02.26
Ser
Bologna
AC Milan
0
3
L
22.01.26
UEF
Bologna
Celtic
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
2
L
07.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H at home: Bologna
23.05.26
H2H
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
19.12.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
L
26.02.23
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
W
27.04.22
H2H
Bologna
Inter
2
1
W
03.04.21
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
L
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Inter
Sassuolo
5
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Inter
Cremonese
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Inter
Udinese
1
0
W
07.01.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
0
W
19.12.25
Sup
Inter
Bologna
1
1
D
H2H away: Inter
23.05.26
H2H
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
19.12.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
W
26.02.23
H2H
Bologna
Inter
1
0
L
27.04.22
H2H
Bologna
Inter
2
1
L
03.04.21
H2H
Bologna
Inter
0
1
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Bologna 5 missing
-
N. Casale
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Vitik
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
N. Cambiaghi
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
R. Orsolini
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
K. Bonifazi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Inter 4 missing
-
M. Akanji
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
D. Dumfries
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
H. Calhanoglu
Missing Fixture Lacking Match Fitness
OUT
-
M. Thuram
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT